AI Match Insights

Friendlies Clubs Jul 17, 2024

MarĂ­timo

Home
VS
09:00

Farense

Away
AI Predictions 65.0% Confidence
MarĂ­timo Win
65.0%
Draw
21.0%
Farense Win
14.0%
Home Win (65% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 84%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 57% Draw Risk: 19%
xG: 2.30 - 1.01
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.3 vs 1.0
Score Prediction Analysis
MarĂ­timo Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
10%
1 goals:
23%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
20%
4 goals:
12%
Farense Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
36%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
19%
3 goals:
6%
4 goals:
2%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1 (10%) 2-0 (10%) 1-1 (8%) 1-0 (8%) 3-1 (7%) 3-0 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 57%
Over 2.5 Goals 61%
Under 2.5 Goals 39%
MarĂ­timo Form 18.0%
Date Match Result
May 19 Marítimo vs Académico… 2-2
May 12 MarĂ­timo vs Moreirense 2-1
May 05 Marítimo vs Penafiel … 0-1
Apr 27 MarĂ­timo vs Moreirense 3-2
Apr 21 Marítimo vs Länk FC V… 0-2
Apr 14 Marítimo vs Santa Cla… 0-0
Apr 07 MarĂ­timo vs Moreirense 0-0
Mar 30 Marítimo vs Leixões SC 0-0
Feb 11 Marítimo vs Pacos Fer… 1-2
Feb 04 MarĂ­timo vs Benfica 3-1
Farense Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
May 18 Farense vs Portimone… 1-3
May 18 Farense vs Portimone… 1-3
May 12 Farense vs GIL Vicen… 2-0
May 12 Farense vs GIL Vicen… 2-0
May 05 Farense vs Estoril 3-2
May 05 Farense vs Estoril 3-2
Apr 29 Farense vs Estrela d… 0-3
Apr 29 Farense vs Estrela d… 0-3
Apr 22 Farense vs Benfica 1-3
Apr 22 Farense vs Benfica 1-3
Key Analysis Factors
  • MarĂ­timo in strong form (4W in last 5) Home
  • Farense struggling (4L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Dec 07, 2022 Farense 2 - 0 Marítimo Taça da Liga
Apr 10, 2021 MarĂ­timo 1 - 0 Farense Primeira Liga
Dec 07, 2020 Farense 2 - 1 MarĂ­timo Primeira Liga
Final Verdict

STANDARD: MarĂ­timo to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
MarĂ­timo Power 0
Farense Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.