AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Taça da Liga Dec 07, 2022

Farense

Home
VS
18:30

Marítimo

Away
AI Predictions 55.0% Confidence
Farense Win
55.0%
Draw
23.0%
Marítimo Win
22.0%
Home Win (55% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 60% Draw Risk: 13%
xG: 2.56 - 0.46
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.6 vs 0.5
Score Prediction Analysis
Farense Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
8%
1 goals:
20%
2 goals:
25%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
14%
Marítimo Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
63%
1 goals:
29%
2 goals:
7%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (16%) 3-0 (14%) 1-0 (12%) 2-1 (7%) 3-1 (6%) 1-1 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 34%
Over 2.5 Goals 54%
Under 2.5 Goals 46%
Farense Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 30 Farense vs Moreirense 2-0
Oct 23 Farense vs Moreirense 3-2
Aug 20 Farense vs Académico… 2-2
Aug 06 Farense vs Moreirense 2-1
Mar 13 Farense vs FC Porto 2-0
Feb 13 Farense vs Académico… 1-1
Oct 23 Farense vs FC Porto 0-0
Sep 13 Farense vs Académico… 2-2
Jul 18 Farense vs Portimone… 0-0
Apr 27 Farense vs Portimone… 1-1
Marítimo Form 6.7%
Date Match Result
Aug 15 Marítimo vs Chaves 1-2
Apr 10 Marítimo vs Farense 1-0
Dec 07 Marítimo vs Farense 2-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Farense in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Apr 10, 2021 Marítimo 1 - 0 Farense Primeira Liga
Dec 07, 2020 Farense 2 - 1 Marítimo Primeira Liga
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Farense to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Farense Power 0
Marítimo Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.