AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Primeira Liga Apr 10, 2021

Marítimo

Home
VS
14:00

Farense

Away
AI Predictions 37.0% Confidence
Marítimo Win
37.0%
Draw
26.6%
Farense Win
36.4%
Home Win (37% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 89%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 59% Draw Risk: 19%
xG: 1.82 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.8 vs 0.2
Score Prediction Analysis
Marítimo Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
16%
1 goals:
30%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
16%
4 goals:
7%
Farense Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (24%) 2-0 (22%) 3-0 (13%) 0-0 (13%) 1-1 (5%) 2-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 15%
Over 2.5 Goals 32%
Under 2.5 Goals 68%
Marítimo Form 0.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 07 Marítimo vs Farense 2-1
Farense Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 08 Farense vs Moreirense 1-2
Jan 04 Farense vs Portimone… 2-0
Dec 27 Farense vs Pacos Fer… 1-1
Dec 07 Farense vs Marítimo 2-1
Sep 20 Farense vs Moreirense 2-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Farense struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Dec 07, 2020 Farense 2 - 1 Marítimo Primeira Liga
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Marítimo to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Marítimo Power 0
Farense Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.