AI Match Insights
Serie A Nov 03, 2024
Torino
HomeVS
14:00
Fiorentina
AwayAI Predictions 44.4% Confidence
Torino Win
Draw
Fiorentina Win
Away Win
(44% confidence)
Predicted Score: 0-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
Player Score
40%
Momentum
35%
Standings
65%
Market
50%
Combined: 39%
Draw Risk: 35%
xG: 0.73 - 1.75
Key Insights
Position gap: 5 places
High draw risk (35%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Torino Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Fiorentina Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1 (15%)
0-2 (13%)
1-1 (11%)
1-2 (9%)
0-0 (8%)
0-3 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score)
43%
Over 2.5 Goals
44%
Under 2.5 Goals
56%
Torino Form 8.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 31 | Torino vs AS Roma | 1-0 |
| Oct 31 | Torino vs AS Roma | 1-0 |
| Oct 25 | Torino vs Como | 1-0 |
| Oct 25 | Torino vs Como | 1-0 |
| Oct 20 | Torino vs Cagliari | 3-2 |
| Oct 20 | Torino vs Cagliari | 3-2 |
| Oct 05 | Torino vs Inter | 3-2 |
| Oct 05 | Torino vs Inter | 3-2 |
| Sep 29 | Torino vs Lazio | 2-3 |
| Sep 24 | Torino vs Empoli | 1-2 |
Fiorentina Form 20.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 31 | Fiorentina vs Genoa | 0-1 |
| Oct 31 | Fiorentina vs Genoa | 0-1 |
| Oct 27 | Fiorentina vs AS Roma | 5-1 |
| Oct 20 | Fiorentina vs Lecce | 0-6 |
| Oct 06 | Fiorentina vs AC Milan | 2-1 |
| Oct 06 | Fiorentina vs AC Milan | 2-1 |
| Sep 29 | Fiorentina vs Empoli | 0-0 |
| Sep 22 | Fiorentina vs Lazio | 2-1 |
| Sep 22 | Fiorentina vs Lazio | 2-1 |
| Sep 15 | Fiorentina vs Atalanta | 3-2 |
Key Analysis Factors
- Fiorentina in strong form (5W in last 5) Away
- Torino struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 9 matches
| Date | Home Team | Score | Away Team | League |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 02, 2024 | Torino | 0 - 0 | Fiorentina | Serie A |
| Mar 02, 2024 | Torino | 0 - 0 | Fiorentina | Pro League |
| Dec 29, 2023 | Fiorentina | 1 - 0 | Torino | Pro League |
| Dec 29, 2023 | Fiorentina | 1 - 0 | Torino | Serie A |
| May 21, 2023 | Torino | 1 - 1 | Fiorentina | Serie A |
| Feb 01, 2023 | Fiorentina | 2 - 1 | Torino | Coppa Italia |
| Jan 21, 2023 | Fiorentina | 0 - 1 | Torino | Serie A |
| Jan 10, 2022 | Torino | 4 - 0 | Fiorentina | Serie A |
| Aug 28, 2021 | Fiorentina | 2 - 1 | Torino | Serie A |
Final Verdict
PRO: Torino to win (72% confidence)
PRO Tier
Predicted: 2-1
72% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%)
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%)
HOME_ADVANTAGE
POWER_AWAY_15+
Key Factors
- No key factors identified
Torino Power
27
Fiorentina Power
44
Home Form
N/A
Away Form
N/A
League Standings Context
13
Torino Position+5
Position Gap18
Fiorentina Position
Home Win Rate: 33%
Away Win Rate: 8%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis.
Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.