AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Serie A May 21, 2023

Torino

Home
VS
13:00

Fiorentina

Away
AI Predictions 43.0% Confidence
Torino Win
43.0%
Draw
25.4%
Fiorentina Win
31.6%
Home Win (43% confidence)
Predicted Score: 0-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 38%
Standings 65%
Market 50%
Combined: 39% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 0.39 - 1.23
Key Insights
Position gap: 5 places
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Torino Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
68%
1 goals:
26%
2 goals:
5%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Fiorentina Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
29%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
22%
3 goals:
9%
4 goals:
3%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1 (24%) 0-0 (20%) 0-2 (15%) 1-1 (9%) 1-0 (8%) 0-3 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 23%
Over 2.5 Goals 22%
Under 2.5 Goals 78%
Torino Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
May 14 Torino vs Verona 0-1
Apr 29 Torino vs Atalanta 1-2
Apr 08 Torino vs AS Roma 0-1
Apr 03 Torino vs Sassuolo 1-1
Mar 12 Torino vs Lecce 0-2
Feb 20 Torino vs Cremonese 2-2
Feb 10 Torino vs AC Milan 1-0
Feb 05 Torino vs Udinese 1-0
Feb 01 Torino vs Fiorentina 2-1
Jan 21 Torino vs Fiorentina 0-1
Fiorentina Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
May 14 Fiorentina vs Udinese 2-0
May 07 Fiorentina vs Napoli 1-0
Apr 27 Fiorentina vs Cremonese 0-0
Apr 17 Fiorentina vs Atalanta 1-1
Apr 05 Fiorentina vs Cremonese 0-2
Mar 12 Fiorentina vs Cremonese 0-2
Mar 04 Fiorentina vs AC Milan 2-1
Feb 27 Fiorentina vs Verona 0-3
Feb 12 Fiorentina vs Juventus 1-0
Feb 05 Fiorentina vs Bologna 1-2
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 4 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Feb 01, 2023 Fiorentina 2 - 1 Torino Coppa Italia
Jan 21, 2023 Fiorentina 0 - 1 Torino Serie A
Jan 10, 2022 Torino 4 - 0 Fiorentina Serie A
Aug 28, 2021 Fiorentina 2 - 1 Torino Serie A
Final Verdict

PRO: Torino to win (72% confidence)

PRO Tier
Predicted: 2-1 72% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE POWER_AWAY_15+
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Torino Power 27
Fiorentina Power 44
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

13

Torino Position

+5

Position Gap

18

Fiorentina Position
Home Win Rate: 33%
Away Win Rate: 8%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.