AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Serie A Dec 21, 2024

Genoa

Home
VS
17:00

Napoli

Away
AI Predictions 51.0% Confidence
Genoa Win
51.0%
Draw
23.8%
Napoli Win
25.2%
Home Win (51% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-1
Decision Justification
Player Score 40%
Momentum 53%
Standings 30%
Market 50%
Combined: 37% Draw Risk: 48%
xG: 1.42 - 1.46
High draw risk (48%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Genoa Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
24%
1 goals:
34%
2 goals:
24%
3 goals:
12%
4 goals:
4%
Napoli Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
23%
1 goals:
34%
2 goals:
25%
3 goals:
12%
4 goals:
4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1 (12%) 1-2 (8%) 2-1 (8%) 0-1 (8%) 1-0 (8%) 2-2 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 58%
Over 2.5 Goals 54%
Under 2.5 Goals 46%
Genoa Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 15 Genoa vs AC Milan 0-0
Dec 15 Genoa vs AC Milan 0-0
Dec 07 Genoa vs Torino 0-0
Dec 01 Genoa vs Udinese 0-2
Dec 01 Genoa vs Udinese 0-2
Nov 24 Genoa vs Cagliari 2-2
Nov 24 Genoa vs Cagliari 2-2
Nov 07 Genoa vs Como 1-1
Nov 04 Genoa vs Parma 0-1
Nov 04 Genoa vs Parma 0-1
Napoli Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 14 Napoli vs Udinese 1-3
Dec 14 Napoli vs Udinese 1-3
Dec 08 Napoli vs Lazio 0-1
Dec 08 Napoli vs Lazio 0-1
Dec 05 Napoli vs Lazio 3-1
Dec 01 Napoli vs Torino 0-1
Nov 24 Napoli vs AS Roma 1-0
Nov 24 Napoli vs AS Roma 1-0
Nov 10 Napoli vs Inter 1-1
Nov 10 Napoli vs Inter 1-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Napoli struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 8 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Feb 17, 2024 Napoli 1 - 1 Genoa Serie A
Feb 17, 2024 Napoli 1 - 1 Genoa Pro League
Sep 16, 2023 Genoa 2 - 2 Napoli Serie A
May 15, 2022 Napoli 3 - 0 Genoa Serie A
Aug 29, 2021 Genoa 1 - 2 Napoli Serie A
Feb 06, 2021 Genoa 2 - 1 Napoli Serie A
Sep 27, 2020 Napoli 6 - 0 Genoa Serie A
Jul 08, 2020 Genoa 1 - 2 Napoli Serie A
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (33% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 33% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Genoa Power 32
Napoli Power 40
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

14

Genoa Position

-11

Position Gap

3

Napoli Position
Home Win Rate: 25%
Away Win Rate: 50%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.