AI Match Insights

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Serie A May 15, 2022

Napoli

Home
VS
13:00

Genoa

Away
AI Predictions 57.0% Confidence
Napoli Win
57.0%
Draw
22.6%
Genoa Win
20.4%
Home Win (57% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
S70+DR<22 (82.1%) S75+DR<25 (81.8%) M75+S65+DR<22 (81.1%) M70+S70+DR<22 (80.6%) GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%) GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%) HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%) M85+S60 (75.3%) GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%) POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) TOP5vsBOT (72.7%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) CS65+DR<30 (68.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 87%
Market 50%
Combined: 67% Draw Risk: 20%
xG: 2.81 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.8 vs 0.2 Position gap: 11 places
Score Prediction Analysis
Napoli Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
6%
1 goals:
17%
2 goals:
24%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
16%
Genoa Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (19%) 3-0 (18%) 1-0 (14%) 0-0 (5%) 2-1 (4%) 3-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 17%
Over 2.5 Goals 51%
Under 2.5 Goals 49%
Napoli Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 30 Napoli vs Sassuolo 6-1
Apr 18 Napoli vs AS Roma 1-1
Apr 10 Napoli vs Fiorentina 2-3
Apr 03 Napoli vs Atalanta 1-3
Mar 19 Napoli vs Udinese 2-1
Mar 13 Napoli vs Verona 1-2
Feb 27 Napoli vs Lazio 1-2
Feb 21 Napoli vs Cagliari 1-1
Feb 12 Napoli vs Inter 1-1
Jan 17 Napoli vs Bologna 0-2
Genoa Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 24 Genoa vs Cagliari 1-0
Apr 15 Genoa vs AC Milan 2-0
Apr 10 Genoa vs Lazio 1-4
Apr 04 Genoa vs Verona 1-0
Mar 13 Genoa vs Atalanta 0-0
Feb 25 Genoa vs Inter 0-0
Feb 05 Genoa vs AS Roma 0-0
Jan 22 Genoa vs Udinese 0-0
Jan 13 Genoa vs AC Milan 3-1
Dec 21 Genoa vs Atalanta 0-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Napoli in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
  • Genoa struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 4 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Aug 29, 2021 Genoa 1 - 2 Napoli Serie A
Feb 06, 2021 Genoa 2 - 1 Napoli Serie A
Sep 27, 2020 Napoli 6 - 0 Genoa Serie A
Jul 08, 2020 Genoa 1 - 2 Napoli Serie A
Final Verdict

PRO: Napoli to win (74% confidence)

PRO Tier
Predicted: 1-0 74% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_10+ (74.9%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Napoli Power 40
Genoa Power 32
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

3

Napoli Position

+11

Position Gap

14

Genoa Position
Home Win Rate: 73%
Away Win Rate: 18%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.