AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Serie A Aug 29, 2021

Genoa

Home
VS
16:30

Napoli

Away
AI Predictions 41.0% Confidence
Genoa Win
41.0%
Draw
25.8%
Napoli Win
33.2%
Home Win (41% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-3
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 85%
Standings 30%
Market 50%
Combined: 45% Draw Risk: 35%
xG: 4.50 - 3.15
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.5 vs 3.1
High draw risk (34%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Genoa Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1%
1 goals:
5%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
19%
Napoli Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
4%
1 goals:
14%
2 goals:
21%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
18%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-3 (4%) 3-2 (4%) 2-3 (3%) 2-2 (2%) 3-1 (2%) 2-1 (2%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 95%
Over 2.5 Goals 61%
Under 2.5 Goals 39%
Genoa Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 21 Genoa vs Inter 4-0
May 22 Genoa vs Cagliari 0-1
May 15 Genoa vs Atalanta 3-4
May 12 Genoa vs Bologna 0-2
May 02 Genoa vs Lazio 4-3
Apr 18 Genoa vs AC Milan 2-1
Mar 19 Genoa vs Parma 1-2
Mar 13 Genoa vs Udinese 1-1
Mar 07 Genoa vs AS Roma 1-0
Feb 28 Genoa vs Inter 3-0
Napoli Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
May 23 Napoli vs Verona 1-1
May 11 Napoli vs Udinese 5-1
May 02 Napoli vs Cagliari 1-1
Apr 22 Napoli vs Lazio 5-2
Apr 07 Napoli vs Juventus 2-1
Mar 21 Napoli vs AS Roma 0-2
Mar 03 Napoli vs Sassuolo 3-3
Feb 21 Napoli vs Atalanta 4-2
Feb 13 Napoli vs Juventus 1-0
Feb 10 Napoli vs Atalanta 3-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Genoa struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Feb 06, 2021 Genoa 2 - 1 Napoli Serie A
Sep 27, 2020 Napoli 6 - 0 Genoa Serie A
Jul 08, 2020 Genoa 1 - 2 Napoli Serie A
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (33% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 33% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Genoa Power 32
Napoli Power 40
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

14

Genoa Position

-11

Position Gap

3

Napoli Position
Home Win Rate: 25%
Away Win Rate: 50%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.