AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
League Two Nov 16, 2024

Newport County AFC

Home
VS
15:00

Grimsby

Away
AI Predictions 45.0% Confidence
Newport County AFC Win
45.0%
Draw
25.0%
Grimsby Win
30.0%
Home Win (45% confidence)
Predicted Score: 0-0
Decision Justification
Player Score 40%
Momentum 53%
Standings 30%
Market 50%
Combined: 37% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 0.43 - 0.20
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Newport County AFC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
65%
1 goals:
28%
2 goals:
6%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Grimsby Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0 (53%) 1-0 (23%) 0-1 (11%) 2-0 (5%) 1-1 (5%) 0-2 (1%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 6%
Over 2.5 Goals 3%
Under 2.5 Goals 97%
Newport County AFC Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 09 Newport C… vs Tranmere … 2-1
Nov 09 Newport C… vs Doncaster 1-1
Nov 09 Newport C… vs Tranmere … 2-1
Oct 26 Newport C… vs Fleetwood… 0-0
Oct 26 Newport C… vs Fleetwood… 0-0
Oct 26 Newport C… vs Harrogate 1-0
Oct 26 Newport C… vs Harrogate 1-0
Oct 22 Newport C… vs Birmingham 0-2
Oct 22 Newport C… vs Barrow 1-1
Oct 22 Newport C… vs Birmingham 0-2
Grimsby Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 12 Grimsby vs Chesterfi… 3-2
Nov 09 Grimsby vs AFC Wimbl… 0-1
Nov 02 Grimsby vs Wealdstone 0-1
Oct 26 Grimsby vs Milton Ke… 1-3
Oct 26 Grimsby vs Milton Ke… 1-3
Oct 22 Grimsby vs Tranmere … 0-1
Oct 22 Grimsby vs Tranmere … 0-1
Oct 19 Grimsby vs Walsall 1-4
Oct 12 Grimsby vs Watford 1-2
Oct 12 Grimsby vs Watford 1-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Grimsby struggling (4L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 10 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Aug 22, 2024 Newport County AFC 4 - 1 Grimsby League Two
Aug 22, 2024 Newport County AFC 4 - 1 Grimsby Pro League
Apr 06, 2024 Grimsby 1 - 0 Newport County AFC League Two
Apr 06, 2024 Grimsby 1 - 0 Newport County AFC Pro League
Jan 13, 2024 Grimsby 5 - 5 Newport County AFC Pro League
Jan 13, 2024 Grimsby 5 - 5 Newport County AFC League Two
Dec 16, 2023 Newport County AFC 1 - 1 Grimsby League Two
Dec 16, 2023 Newport County AFC 1 - 1 Grimsby Pro League
Aug 12, 2023 Newport County AFC 3 - 2 Grimsby League Two
Mar 07, 2023 Grimsby 1 - 1 Newport County AFC League Two
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (33% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 33% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Newport County AFC Power 26
Grimsby Power 38
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

23

Newport County AFC Position

-14

Position Gap

9

Grimsby Position
Home Win Rate: 14%
Away Win Rate: 43%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.