AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
League Two Mar 22, 2025

Cheltenham

Home
VS
15:00

Milton Keynes Dons

Away
AI Predictions 49.0% Confidence
Cheltenham Win
49.0%
Draw
24.2%
Milton Keynes Dons Win
26.8%
Home Win (49% confidence)
Predicted Score: 0-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 71%
Standings 30%
Market 50%
Combined: 42% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 0.95 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 0.9 vs 0.2
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Cheltenham Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
39%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
18%
3 goals:
6%
4 goals:
1%
Milton Keynes Dons Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0 (32%) 1-0 (30%) 2-0 (14%) 0-1 (6%) 1-1 (6%) 3-0 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 11%
Over 2.5 Goals 11%
Under 2.5 Goals 89%
Cheltenham Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 16 Cheltenham vs Milton Ke… 3-2
Apr 15 Cheltenham vs Milton Ke… 2-2
Oct 29 Cheltenham vs Milton Ke… 0-0
Aug 30 Cheltenham vs Milton Ke… 1-2
Mar 08 Cheltenham vs Milton Ke… 3-1
Sep 04 Cheltenham vs Milton Ke… 1-1
Milton Keynes Dons Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 15 Milton Ke… vs Port Vale 3-0
Mar 08 Milton Ke… vs Morecambe 2-1
Mar 04 Milton Ke… vs Accringto… 2-0
Mar 04 Milton Ke… vs Accringto… 2-0
Mar 01 Milton Ke… vs Mancheste… 0-1
Mar 01 Milton Ke… vs Mancheste… 0-1
Feb 22 Milton Ke… vs Brentford 2-0
Feb 15 Milton Ke… vs Tranmere … 1-1
Feb 15 Milton Ke… vs Tranmere … 1-1
Feb 11 Milton Ke… vs Barrow 2-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Milton Keynes Dons struggling (4L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 6 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Nov 16, 2024 Milton Keynes Dons 3 - 2 Cheltenham League Two
Apr 15, 2023 Milton Keynes Dons 2 - 2 Cheltenham League One
Oct 29, 2022 Cheltenham 0 - 0 Milton Keynes Dons League One
Aug 30, 2022 Milton Keynes Dons 1 - 2 Cheltenham EFL Trophy
Mar 08, 2022 Milton Keynes Dons 3 - 1 Cheltenham League One
Sep 04, 2021 Cheltenham 1 - 1 Milton Keynes Dons League One
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Milton Keynes Dons to win (57% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 0-2 57% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE POWER_AWAY_25+ SCORING_THREAT_AWAY
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Cheltenham Power 0
Milton Keynes Dons Power 44
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

18

Cheltenham Position

-12

Position Gap

6

Milton Keynes Dons Position
Home Win Rate: 43%
Away Win Rate: 43%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.