AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
League One Oct 29, 2022

Cheltenham

Home
VS
14:00

Milton Keynes Dons

Away
AI Predictions 50.3% Confidence
Cheltenham Win
50.3%
Draw
23.9%
Milton Keynes Dons Win
25.7%
Home Win (50% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 70%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 45% Draw Risk: 38%
xG: 1.50 - 0.79
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.5 vs 0.8
High draw risk (38%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Cheltenham Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
22%
1 goals:
34%
2 goals:
25%
3 goals:
13%
4 goals:
5%
Milton Keynes Dons Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
45%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
14%
3 goals:
4%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (15%) 1-1 (12%) 2-0 (11%) 0-0 (10%) 2-1 (9%) 0-1 (8%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 42%
Over 2.5 Goals 40%
Under 2.5 Goals 60%
Cheltenham Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 30 Cheltenham vs Milton Ke… 1-2
Mar 08 Cheltenham vs Milton Ke… 3-1
Sep 04 Cheltenham vs Milton Ke… 1-1
Milton Keynes Dons Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 11 Milton Ke… vs Bristol R… 0-1
Oct 08 Milton Ke… vs Shrewsbury 2-1
Sep 17 Milton Ke… vs Oxford Un… 1-2
Aug 30 Milton Ke… vs Cheltenham 1-2
Aug 20 Milton Ke… vs Accringto… 1-1
Jul 30 Milton Ke… vs Cambridge… 1-0
Apr 19 Milton Ke… vs Oxford Un… 1-0
Apr 02 Milton Ke… vs Shrewsbury 2-0
Mar 19 Milton Ke… vs Cambridge… 0-1
Mar 08 Milton Ke… vs Cheltenham 3-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Milton Keynes Dons struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Aug 30, 2022 Milton Keynes Dons 1 - 2 Cheltenham EFL Trophy
Mar 08, 2022 Milton Keynes Dons 3 - 1 Cheltenham League One
Sep 04, 2021 Cheltenham 1 - 1 Milton Keynes Dons League One
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Milton Keynes Dons to win (55% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 0-2 55% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE POWER_AWAY_25+ SCORING_THREAT_AWAY
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Cheltenham Power 0
Milton Keynes Dons Power 44
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.