AI Match Insights

EFL Trophy Aug 30, 2022

Milton Keynes Dons

Home
VS
18:00

Cheltenham

Away
AI Predictions 54.0% Confidence
Milton Keynes Dons Win
54.0%
Draw
23.2%
Cheltenham Win
22.8%
Home Win (54% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-1
Decision Justification
Player Score 40%
Momentum 50%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 40% Draw Risk: 50%
xG: 1.61 - 1.41
High draw risk (50%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Milton Keynes Dons Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
20%
1 goals:
32%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
14%
4 goals:
6%
Cheltenham Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
24%
1 goals:
34%
2 goals:
24%
3 goals:
11%
4 goals:
4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1 (11%) 2-1 (9%) 1-0 (8%) 1-2 (8%) 0-1 (7%) 2-0 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 60%
Over 2.5 Goals 57%
Under 2.5 Goals 43%
Milton Keynes Dons Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 20 Milton Ke… vs Accringto… 1-1
Jul 30 Milton Ke… vs Cambridge… 1-0
Apr 19 Milton Ke… vs Oxford Un… 1-0
Apr 02 Milton Ke… vs Shrewsbury 2-0
Mar 19 Milton Ke… vs Cambridge… 0-1
Mar 08 Milton Ke… vs Cheltenham 3-1
Feb 08 Milton Ke… vs Fleetwood… 1-1
Jan 08 Milton Ke… vs Accringto… 1-1
Jan 01 Milton Ke… vs Birmingham 0-0
Dec 11 Milton Ke… vs Oxford Un… 1-2
Cheltenham Form 5.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 08 Cheltenham vs Milton Ke… 3-1
Sep 04 Cheltenham vs Milton Ke… 1-1
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Mar 08, 2022 Milton Keynes Dons 3 - 1 Cheltenham League One
Sep 04, 2021 Cheltenham 1 - 1 Milton Keynes Dons League One
Final Verdict

ELITE: Milton Keynes Dons to win (95% confidence)

ELITE Tier
Predicted: 2-0 95% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_15+ (79.5%) AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE POWER_HOME_25+ (68%) SCORING_THREAT_HOME
Key Factors
  • Huge position gap: 95
  • Power: 44 vs 0
Milton Keynes Dons Power 44
Cheltenham Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.