AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
League One Mar 08, 2022

Milton Keynes Dons

Home
VS
19:45

Cheltenham

Away
AI Predictions 47.0% Confidence
Milton Keynes Dons Win
47.0%
Draw
24.6%
Cheltenham Win
28.4%
Home Win (47% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 85%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 49% Draw Risk: 30%
xG: 2.30 - 0.94
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.3 vs 0.9
High draw risk (30%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Milton Keynes Dons Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
10%
1 goals:
23%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
20%
4 goals:
12%
Cheltenham Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
39%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
17%
3 goals:
5%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (10%) 2-1 (10%) 1-0 (9%) 1-1 (8%) 3-0 (8%) 3-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 55%
Over 2.5 Goals 60%
Under 2.5 Goals 40%
Milton Keynes Dons Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 08 Milton Ke… vs Fleetwood… 1-1
Jan 08 Milton Ke… vs Accringto… 1-1
Jan 01 Milton Ke… vs Birmingham 0-0
Dec 11 Milton Ke… vs Oxford Un… 1-2
Nov 13 Milton Ke… vs Cambridge… 4-1
Oct 16 Milton Ke… vs Shrewsbury 1-0
Sep 28 Milton Ke… vs Fleetwood… 3-3
Sep 18 Milton Ke… vs Birmingham 1-4
Sep 04 Milton Ke… vs Cheltenham 1-1
Aug 28 Milton Ke… vs Accringto… 2-0
Cheltenham Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 04 Cheltenham vs Milton Ke… 1-1
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Sep 04, 2021 Cheltenham 1 - 1 Milton Keynes Dons League One
Final Verdict

MASTER: Milton Keynes Dons to win (75% confidence)

MASTER Tier
Predicted: 2-0 75% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE POWER_HOME_25+ (68%) SCORING_THREAT_HOME
Key Factors
  • Power: 44 vs 0
Milton Keynes Dons Power 44
Cheltenham Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.