AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
League Two Feb 10, 2024

Crewe

Home
VS
15:00

Crawley Town

Away
AI Predictions 55.0% Confidence
Crewe Win
55.0%
Draw
23.0%
Crawley Town Win
22.0%
Home Win (55% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 53%
Standings 80%
Market 50%
Combined: 46% Draw Risk: 44%
xG: 2.05 - 1.78
Key Insights
Position gap: 10 places
High draw risk (44%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Crewe Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
13%
1 goals:
26%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
19%
4 goals:
10%
Crawley Town Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
17%
1 goals:
30%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
16%
4 goals:
7%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1 (8%) 1-1 (8%) 2-2 (7%) 1-2 (7%) 3-1 (6%) 3-2 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 72%
Over 2.5 Goals 71%
Under 2.5 Goals 29%
Crewe Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 03 Crewe vs Tranmere … 0-0
Feb 03 Crewe vs Tranmere … 0-0
Jan 27 Crewe vs Watford 2-3
Jan 20 Crewe vs Barrow 1-3
Jan 20 Crewe vs Barrow 1-3
Jan 13 Crewe vs Swindon 2-1
Jan 06 Crewe vs Mansfield… 0-1
Jan 01 Crewe vs Brentford 1-0
Dec 29 Crewe vs Newport C… 1-1
Dec 29 Crewe vs Newport C… 1-1
Crawley Town Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 03 Crawley T… vs Morecambe 1-2
Jan 23 Crawley T… vs Peterboro… 2-1
Jan 13 Crawley T… vs Watford 0-1
Jan 13 Crawley T… vs Watford 0-1
Jan 06 Crawley T… vs Brentford 2-4
Jan 01 Crawley T… vs Swindon 3-1
Dec 29 Crawley T… vs Milton Ke… 2-0
Dec 26 Crawley T… vs Birmingham 0-2
Dec 26 Crawley T… vs Birmingham 0-2
Dec 22 Crawley T… vs AFC Wimbl… 1-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Crawley Town struggling (4L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Oct 21, 2023 Crawley Town 2 - 4 Crewe League Two
Feb 11, 2023 Crawley Town 2 - 2 Crewe League Two
Sep 17, 2022 Crewe 1 - 0 Crawley Town League Two
Final Verdict

PRO: Crewe to win (73% confidence)

PRO Tier
Predicted: 1-0 73% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_10+ (74.9%) AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Crewe Power 38
Crawley Town Power 30
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

10

Crewe Position

+10

Position Gap

20

Crawley Town Position
Home Win Rate: 53%
Away Win Rate: 13%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.