AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
League Two Oct 21, 2023

Crawley Town

Home
VS
14:00

Crewe

Away
AI Predictions 39.0% Confidence
Crawley Town Win
39.0%
Draw
26.2%
Crewe Win
34.8%
Home Win (39% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 30%
Market 50%
Combined: 48% Draw Risk: 28%
xG: 3.08 - 0.62
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.1 vs 0.6
High draw risk (28%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Crawley Town Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
5%
1 goals:
14%
2 goals:
22%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
17%
Crewe Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
54%
1 goals:
33%
2 goals:
10%
3 goals:
2%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (12%) 2-0 (12%) 1-0 (8%) 3-1 (7%) 2-1 (7%) 1-1 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 62%
Under 2.5 Goals 38%
Crawley Town Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 09 Crawley T… vs Newport C… 4-1
Aug 19 Crawley T… vs Birmingham 0-1
Aug 12 Crawley T… vs Watford 1-1
Jul 29 Crawley T… vs Burnley 1-2
Jul 18 Crawley T… vs Brighton 2-2
Apr 29 Crawley T… vs Walsall 0-0
Apr 22 Crawley T… vs Hartlepool 0-2
Apr 18 Crawley T… vs Mancheste… 0-0
Apr 10 Crawley T… vs Barrow 4-0
Mar 11 Crawley T… vs Harrogate 3-1
Crewe Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 14 Crewe vs Tranmere … 2-0
Sep 23 Crewe vs Mancheste… 2-1
Aug 19 Crewe vs Walsall 2-2
Aug 15 Crewe vs Newport C… 4-2
May 08 Crewe vs Newport C… 2-2
Apr 15 Crewe vs Walsall 2-0
Apr 10 Crewe vs Mancheste… 4-0
Apr 07 Crewe vs Barrow 3-0
Feb 21 Crewe vs Walsall 0-0
Feb 18 Crewe vs Harrogate 2-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Crewe in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Feb 11, 2023 Crawley Town 2 - 2 Crewe League Two
Sep 17, 2022 Crewe 1 - 0 Crawley Town League Two
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (33% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 33% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Crawley Town Power 30
Crewe Power 38
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

20

Crawley Town Position

-10

Position Gap

10

Crewe Position
Home Win Rate: 29%
Away Win Rate: 27%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.