AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
League Two Feb 11, 2023

Crawley Town

Home
VS
15:00

Crewe

Away
AI Predictions 41.0% Confidence
Crawley Town Win
41.0%
Draw
25.8%
Crewe Win
33.2%
Home Win (41% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 30%
Market 50%
Combined: 48% Draw Risk: 31%
xG: 3.19 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.2 vs 0.2
High draw risk (31%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Crawley Town Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
4%
1 goals:
13%
2 goals:
21%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
18%
Crewe Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (18%) 2-0 (17%) 1-0 (11%) 3-1 (4%) 2-1 (3%) 0-0 (3%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 17%
Over 2.5 Goals 55%
Under 2.5 Goals 45%
Crawley Town Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 04 Crawley T… vs Birmingham 1-0
Jan 28 Crawley T… vs Watford 3-2
Jan 02 Crawley T… vs Newport C… 2-2
Dec 09 Crawley T… vs Hartlepool 0-2
Nov 22 Crawley T… vs Birmingham 0-0
Nov 19 Crawley T… vs Walsall 2-1
Nov 12 Crawley T… vs Barrow 1-0
Nov 05 Crawley T… vs Accringto… 1-4
Oct 25 Crawley T… vs Mancheste… 2-2
Oct 15 Crawley T… vs Newport C… 2-1
Crewe Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 31 Crewe vs Stockport 1-1
Jan 01 Crewe vs Tranmere … 1-0
Dec 26 Crewe vs Stockport 2-0
Dec 02 Crewe vs Newport C… 1-2
Nov 12 Crewe vs Mancheste… 1-0
Oct 29 Crewe vs Barrow 3-0
Oct 18 Crewe vs Tranmere … 0-1
Oct 14 Crewe vs Tranmere … 3-0
Sep 17 Crewe vs Crawley T… 1-0
Aug 06 Crewe vs Harrogate 3-0
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Sep 17, 2022 Crewe 1 - 0 Crawley Town League Two
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (33% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 33% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Crawley Town Power 30
Crewe Power 38
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

20

Crawley Town Position

-10

Position Gap

10

Crewe Position
Home Win Rate: 29%
Away Win Rate: 27%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.