AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
League Two Sep 17, 2022

Crewe

Home
VS
14:00

Crawley Town

Away
AI Predictions 43.0% Confidence
Crewe Win
43.0%
Draw
25.4%
Crawley Town Win
31.6%
Home Win (43% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
M85+S60 (75.3%) POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 80%
Market 50%
Combined: 56% Draw Risk: 36%
xG: 3.61 - 1.18
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.6 vs 1.2 Position gap: 10 places
High draw risk (36%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Crewe Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
3%
1 goals:
10%
2 goals:
18%
3 goals:
21%
4 goals:
19%
Crawley Town Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
31%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
21%
3 goals:
8%
4 goals:
3%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-1 (8%) 3-0 (7%) 2-1 (6%) 2-0 (5%) 3-2 (5%) 2-2 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 67%
Over 2.5 Goals 70%
Under 2.5 Goals 30%
Crewe Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 06 Crewe vs Harrogate 3-0
Feb 26 Crewe vs Chelsea 1-2
Jan 22 Crewe vs Cambridge… 1-0
Oct 02 Crewe vs Cambridge… 2-2
Aug 07 Crewe vs Chelsea 1-1
Jul 27 Crewe vs Oldham 2-1
May 01 Crewe vs Bristol R… 0-1
Jan 19 Crewe vs Bristol R… 3-2
Nov 28 Crewe vs Chelsea 2-1
Aug 15 Crewe vs Walsall 2-0
Crawley Town Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 03 Crawley T… vs Watford 2-2
Aug 13 Crawley T… vs Harrogate 0-0
Jul 19 Crawley T… vs Brighton 2-1
May 07 Crawley T… vs Oldham 3-3
Apr 18 Crawley T… vs Walsall 1-0
Apr 15 Crawley T… vs Newport C… 1-2
Apr 09 Crawley T… vs Barrow 1-0
Mar 29 Crawley T… vs Watford 2-1
Mar 01 Crawley T… vs Oldham 2-2
Feb 12 Crawley T… vs Hartlepool 0-1
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Final Verdict

PRO: Crewe to win (73% confidence)

PRO Tier
Predicted: 1-0 73% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_10+ (74.9%) AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Crewe Power 38
Crawley Town Power 30
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

10

Crewe Position

+10

Position Gap

20

Crawley Town Position
Home Win Rate: 53%
Away Win Rate: 13%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.