AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
La Liga Mar 19, 2023

Real Sociedad

Home
VS
15:15

Elche

Away
AI Predictions 53.0% Confidence
Real Sociedad Win
53.0%
Draw
23.4%
Elche Win
23.6%
Home Win (53% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
S70+DR<22 (82.1%) M75+S65+DR<22 (81.1%) M70+S70+DR<22 (80.6%) M85+S60 (75.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 71%
Market 50%
Combined: 64% Draw Risk: 18%
xG: 2.95 - 0.68
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.0 vs 0.7 Position gap: 5 places
Score Prediction Analysis
Real Sociedad Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
5%
1 goals:
15%
2 goals:
23%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
17%
Elche Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
51%
1 goals:
34%
2 goals:
12%
3 goals:
3%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (12%) 3-0 (11%) 2-1 (8%) 1-0 (8%) 3-1 (8%) 1-1 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 47%
Over 2.5 Goals 62%
Under 2.5 Goals 38%
Real Sociedad Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 18 Real Soci… vs Celta de … 1-1
Jan 25 Real Soci… vs FC Barcel… 1-0
Jan 14 Real Soci… vs Athletic … 3-1
Oct 16 Real Soci… vs Celta de … 1-2
Oct 09 Real Soci… vs Villarreal 1-0
Oct 02 Real Soci… vs Girona 3-5
Sep 11 Real Soci… vs Getafe 2-1
Sep 03 Real Soci… vs Atlético … 1-1
Aug 27 Real Soci… vs Elche 0-1
Aug 21 Real Soci… vs FC Barcel… 1-4
Elche Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 04 Elche vs Mallorca 0-1
Feb 24 Elche vs Real Betis 2-3
Feb 04 Elche vs Villarreal 3-1
Jan 28 Elche vs Sevilla FC 3-0
Nov 08 Elche vs Girona 1-2
Oct 31 Elche vs Getafe 0-1
Oct 15 Elche vs Valencia 2-2
Oct 10 Elche vs Mallorca 1-1
Oct 03 Elche vs Rayo Vall… 2-1
Sep 17 Elche vs FC Barcel… 3-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Real Sociedad in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
  • Elche struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 5 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Aug 27, 2022 Elche 0 - 1 Real Sociedad La Liga
Apr 10, 2022 Elche 1 - 2 Real Sociedad La Liga
Sep 26, 2021 Real Sociedad 1 - 0 Elche La Liga
May 07, 2021 Real Sociedad 2 - 0 Elche La Liga
Sep 26, 2020 Elche 0 - 3 Real Sociedad La Liga
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Real Sociedad to win (53% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 2-1 53% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Real Sociedad Power 35
Elche Power 34
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

8

Real Sociedad Position

+5

Position Gap

13

Elche Position
Home Win Rate: 46%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.