AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
La Liga Aug 27, 2022

Elche

Home
VS
15:30

Real Sociedad

Away
AI Predictions 63.0% Confidence
Elche Win
63.0%
Draw
21.4%
Real Sociedad Win
15.6%
Home Win (63% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 84%
Standings 40%
Market 50%
Combined: 47% Draw Risk: 26%
xG: 2.20 - 0.89
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.2 vs 0.9
High draw risk (26%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Elche Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
11%
1 goals:
24%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
20%
4 goals:
11%
Real Sociedad Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
41%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
16%
3 goals:
5%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (11%) 1-0 (10%) 2-1 (10%) 1-1 (9%) 3-0 (8%) 3-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 52%
Over 2.5 Goals 57%
Under 2.5 Goals 43%
Elche Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 15 Elche vs Real Betis 3-0
Jul 27 Elche vs Getafe 0-1
May 22 Elche vs Getafe 3-1
Apr 19 Elche vs Real Betis 0-1
Apr 16 Elche vs Mallorca 3-0
Apr 10 Elche vs Real Sociā€¦ 1-2
Mar 19 Elche vs Valencia 0-1
Mar 06 Elche vs FC Barcelā€¦ 1-2
Feb 25 Elche vs Levante 3-0
Feb 18 Elche vs Rayo Vallā€¦ 2-1
Real Sociedad Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 21 Real Sociā€¦ vs FC Barcelā€¦ 1-4
Aug 05 Real Sociā€¦ vs Athletic ā€¦ 1-0
May 27 Real Sociā€¦ vs Zaragoza 1-2
May 22 Real Sociā€¦ vs AtlĆ©tico ā€¦ 1-2
May 15 Real Sociā€¦ vs Villarreal 1-2
May 06 Real Sociā€¦ vs Levante 2-1
Apr 21 Real Sociā€¦ vs FC Barcelā€¦ 0-1
Apr 10 Real Sociā€¦ vs Elche 1-2
Mar 19 Real Sociā€¦ vs Mirandes 1-3
Mar 13 Real Sociā€¦ vs AlavĆ©s 1-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Elche in strong form (4W in last 5) Home
  • Real Sociedad struggling (4L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 4 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Apr 10, 2022 Elche 1 - 2 Real Sociedad La Liga
Sep 26, 2021 Real Sociedad 1 - 0 Elche La Liga
May 07, 2021 Real Sociedad 2 - 0 Elche La Liga
Sep 26, 2020 Elche 0 - 3 Real Sociedad La Liga
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (33% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 33% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Elche Power 34
Real Sociedad Power 35
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

13

Elche Position

-5

Position Gap

8

Real Sociedad Position
Home Win Rate: 42%
Away Win Rate: 18%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.