AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
La Liga Apr 10, 2022

Elche

Home
VS
16:30

Real Sociedad

Away
AI Predictions 37.0% Confidence
Elche Win
37.0%
Draw
26.6%
Real Sociedad Win
36.4%
Home Win (37% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 69%
Standings 40%
Market 50%
Combined: 43% Draw Risk: 39%
xG: 1.48 - 0.85
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.5 vs 0.8
High draw risk (39%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Elche Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
23%
1 goals:
34%
2 goals:
25%
3 goals:
12%
4 goals:
5%
Real Sociedad Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
43%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
15%
3 goals:
4%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (14%) 1-1 (12%) 2-0 (11%) 0-0 (10%) 2-1 (9%) 0-1 (8%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 41%
Under 2.5 Goals 59%
Elche Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 19 Elche vs Valencia 0-1
Mar 06 Elche vs FC Barcel… 1-2
Feb 25 Elche vs Levante 3-0
Feb 18 Elche vs Rayo Vall… 2-1
Feb 11 Elche vs Sevilla FC 2-0
Jan 16 Elche vs Villarreal 1-0
Dec 18 Elche vs FC Barcel… 3-2
Dec 11 Elche vs Valencia 2-1
Nov 21 Elche vs Real Betis 0-3
Nov 07 Elche vs Mallorca 2-2
Real Sociedad Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 19 Real Soci… vs Mirandes 1-3
Mar 13 Real Soci… vs Alavés 1-0
Mar 07 Real Soci… vs Sporting … 2-1
Feb 20 Real Soci… vs Athletic … 4-0
Jan 30 Real Soci… vs Las Palmas 0-0
Jan 23 Real Soci… vs Getafe 0-0
Jan 19 Real Soci… vs Atlético … 2-0
Jan 08 Real Soci… vs Celta de … 1-0
Jan 08 Real Soci… vs Levante 1-1
Jan 05 Real Soci… vs Levante 2-3
Key Analysis Factors
  • Elche struggling (4L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Sep 26, 2021 Real Sociedad 1 - 0 Elche La Liga
May 07, 2021 Real Sociedad 2 - 0 Elche La Liga
Sep 26, 2020 Elche 0 - 3 Real Sociedad La Liga
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (33% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 33% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Elche Power 34
Real Sociedad Power 35
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

13

Elche Position

-5

Position Gap

8

Real Sociedad Position
Home Win Rate: 42%
Away Win Rate: 18%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.