AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
La Liga Sep 26, 2021

Real Sociedad

Home
VS
16:30

Elche

Away
AI Predictions 51.0% Confidence
Real Sociedad Win
51.0%
Draw
23.8%
Elche Win
25.2%
Home Win (51% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
S70+DR<22 (82.1%) M75+S65+DR<22 (81.1%) M70+S70+DR<22 (80.6%) M85+S60 (75.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 71%
Market 50%
Combined: 64% Draw Risk: 20%
xG: 2.85 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.9 vs 0.2 Position gap: 5 places
Score Prediction Analysis
Real Sociedad Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
6%
1 goals:
17%
2 goals:
24%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
16%
Elche Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (19%) 3-0 (18%) 1-0 (13%) 0-0 (5%) 2-1 (4%) 3-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 17%
Over 2.5 Goals 52%
Under 2.5 Goals 48%
Real Sociedad Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 18 Real Sociā€¦ vs Zaragoza 1-1
Aug 28 Real Sociā€¦ vs Levante 1-0
Aug 15 Real Sociā€¦ vs FC Barcelā€¦ 4-2
Aug 14 Real Sociā€¦ vs Levante 1-0
Aug 07 Real Sociā€¦ vs Mirandes 1-1
Jul 28 Real Sociā€¦ vs Sporting ā€¦ 0-2
Jul 24 Real Sociā€¦ vs AlavĆ©s 1-3
Jul 24 Real Sociā€¦ vs AlavĆ©s 3-1
May 07 Real Sociā€¦ vs Elche 2-0
Mar 07 Real Sociā€¦ vs Levante 1-0
Elche Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 22 Elche vs Villarreal 4-1
Sep 18 Elche vs Levante 1-1
Sep 13 Elche vs Getafe 0-1
Aug 28 Elche vs Sevilla FC 1-1
Aug 07 Elche vs Levante 1-2
May 07 Elche vs Real Sociā€¦ 2-0
Apr 24 Elche vs Levante 1-0
Apr 04 Elche vs Real Betis 1-1
Mar 21 Elche vs Getafe 1-1
Mar 17 Elche vs Sevilla FC 2-0
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
May 07, 2021 Real Sociedad 2 - 0 Elche La Liga
Sep 26, 2020 Elche 0 - 3 Real Sociedad La Liga
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Real Sociedad to win (53% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 2-1 53% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Real Sociedad Power 35
Elche Power 34
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

8

Real Sociedad Position

+5

Position Gap

13

Elche Position
Home Win Rate: 46%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.