AI Match Insights

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La Liga May 07, 2021

Real Sociedad

Home
VS
19:00

Elche

Away
AI Predictions 49.0% Confidence
Real Sociedad Win
49.0%
Draw
24.2%
Elche Win
26.8%
Home Win (49% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
S70+DR<22 (82.1%) M75+S65+DR<22 (81.1%) M70+S70+DR<22 (80.6%) M85+S60 (75.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 71%
Market 50%
Combined: 64% Draw Risk: 15%
xG: 4.15 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.2 vs 0.2 Position gap: 5 places
Score Prediction Analysis
Real Sociedad Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
2%
1 goals:
7%
2 goals:
14%
3 goals:
19%
4 goals:
20%
Elche Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (15%) 2-0 (11%) 1-0 (5%) 3-1 (3%) 2-1 (2%) 0-0 (1%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 18%
Over 2.5 Goals 57%
Under 2.5 Goals 43%
Real Sociedad Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 07 Real Sociā€¦ vs Levante 1-0
Feb 21 Real Sociā€¦ vs AlavĆ©s 4-0
Feb 14 Real Sociā€¦ vs Getafe 0-1
Jan 30 Real Sociā€¦ vs Villarreal 1-1
Dec 19 Real Sociā€¦ vs Levante 2-1
Nov 29 Real Sociā€¦ vs Villarreal 1-1
Oct 03 Real Sociā€¦ vs Getafe 3-0
Sep 26 Real Sociā€¦ vs Elche 0-3
Jul 06 Real Sociā€¦ vs Levante 1-1
Elche Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 24 Elche vs Levante 1-0
Apr 04 Elche vs Real Betis 1-1
Mar 21 Elche vs Getafe 1-1
Mar 17 Elche vs Sevilla FC 2-0
Mar 06 Elche vs Sevilla FC 2-1
Feb 24 Elche vs FC Barcelā€¦ 3-0
Feb 20 Elche vs Eibar 1-0
Feb 06 Elche vs Villarreal 2-2
Jan 30 Elche vs Valencia 1-0
Jan 24 Elche vs FC Barcelā€¦ 0-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Real Sociedad in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Sep 26, 2020 Elche 0 - 3 Real Sociedad La Liga
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Real Sociedad to win (53% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 2-1 53% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Real Sociedad Power 35
Elche Power 34
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

8

Real Sociedad Position

+5

Position Gap

13

Elche Position
Home Win Rate: 46%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.