AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
La Liga Apr 22, 2025

Barcelona

Home
VS
19:30

Mallorca

Away
AI Predictions 57.0% Confidence
Barcelona Win
57.0%
Draw
22.6%
Mallorca Win
20.4%
Home Win (57% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%) GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%) HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%) M85+S60 (75.3%) GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%) POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) TOP5vsBOT (72.7%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 87%
Standings 90%
Market 50%
Combined: 56% Draw Risk: 38%
xG: 1.69 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.7 vs 0.2 Position gap: 13 places
High draw risk (38%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Barcelona Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
19%
1 goals:
31%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
15%
4 goals:
6%
Mallorca Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (26%) 2-0 (22%) 0-0 (15%) 3-0 (12%) 1-1 (5%) 2-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 15%
Over 2.5 Goals 29%
Under 2.5 Goals 71%
Barcelona Form 18.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 03 Barcelona vs Mallorca 1-5
Mar 08 Barcelona vs Mallorca 1-0
Sep 26 Barcelona vs Mallorca 2-2
May 28 Barcelona vs Mallorca 3-0
Oct 01 Barcelona vs Mallorca 0-1
May 01 Barcelona vs Mallorca 2-1
Jan 02 Barcelona vs Mallorca 0-1
Jun 13 Barcelona vs Mallorca 0-4
Mallorca Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 19 Mallorca vs Levante 0-0
Apr 12 Mallorca vs Real Soci… 0-2
Apr 05 Mallorca vs Celta 1-2
Mar 30 Mallorca vs Valencia 1-0
Mar 15 Mallorca vs Espanyol 2-1
Mar 09 Mallorca vs Athletic … 1-1
Mar 09 Mallorca vs Ath Bilbao 1-1
Mar 02 Mallorca vs Alavés 1-1
Feb 24 Mallorca vs Sevilla FC 1-1
Feb 16 Mallorca vs Las Palmas 3-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Barcelona in strong form (4W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 8 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Dec 03, 2024 Mallorca 1 - 5 Barcelona La Liga
Mar 08, 2024 Barcelona 1 - 0 Mallorca La Liga
Sep 26, 2023 Mallorca 2 - 2 Barcelona La Liga
May 28, 2023 Barcelona 3 - 0 Mallorca La Liga
Oct 01, 2022 Mallorca 0 - 1 Barcelona La Liga
May 01, 2022 Barcelona 2 - 1 Mallorca La Liga
Jan 02, 2022 Mallorca 0 - 1 Barcelona La Liga
Jun 13, 2020 Mallorca 0 - 4 Barcelona La Liga
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Barcelona Power 0
Mallorca Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

1

Barcelona Position

+13

Position Gap

14

Mallorca Position
Home Win Rate: 100%
Away Win Rate: 9%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.