AI Match Insights

La Liga May 01, 2022

Barcelona

Home
VS
19:00

Mallorca

Away
AI Predictions 63.0% Confidence
Barcelona Win
63.0%
Draw
21.4%
Mallorca Win
15.6%
Home Win (63% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
S75+DR<25 (81.8%) GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%) GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%) HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%) HWR80+DR<25 (75.0%) GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%) POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) TOP5vsBOT (72.7%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 83%
Standings 90%
Market 50%
Combined: 65% Draw Risk: 22%
xG: 1.75 - 0.56
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.8 vs 0.6 Position gap: 13 places
Score Prediction Analysis
Barcelona Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
17%
1 goals:
30%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
16%
4 goals:
7%
Mallorca Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
57%
1 goals:
32%
2 goals:
9%
3 goals:
2%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (17%) 2-0 (15%) 0-0 (10%) 1-1 (10%) 3-0 (9%) 2-1 (9%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 35%
Over 2.5 Goals 40%
Under 2.5 Goals 60%
Barcelona Form 20.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 02 Barcelona vs Mallorca 0-1
Jun 13 Barcelona vs Mallorca 0-4
Mallorca Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 16 Mallorca vs Elche 3-0
Apr 09 Mallorca vs Atlético … 1-0
Feb 26 Mallorca vs Valencia 0-1
Feb 14 Mallorca vs Athletic … 3-2
Feb 02 Mallorca vs Rayo Vall… 1-0
Jan 22 Mallorca vs Villarreal 3-0
Jan 02 Mallorca vs Barcelona 0-1
Dec 04 Mallorca vs Atlético … 1-2
Nov 22 Mallorca vs Rayo Vall… 3-1
Nov 07 Mallorca vs Elche 2-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Mallorca struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jan 02, 2022 Mallorca 0 - 1 Barcelona La Liga
Jun 13, 2020 Mallorca 0 - 4 Barcelona La Liga
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Barcelona Power 0
Mallorca Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

1

Barcelona Position

+13

Position Gap

14

Mallorca Position

Home Win Rate: 100%
Away Win Rate: 9%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.