AI Match Insights

Premier Division May 03, 2025

St Joseph S Fc

Home
VS
14:30

Lions Gibraltar

Away
AI Predictions 69.0% Confidence
St Joseph S Fc Win
69.0%
Draw
20.2%
Lions Gibraltar Win
10.8%
Home Win (69% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
M85+S60 (75.3%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 87%
Standings 68%
Market 50%
Combined: 53% Draw Risk: 26%
xG: 1.80 - 0.25
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.8 vs 0.2
High draw risk (26%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
St Joseph S Fc Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
17%
1 goals:
30%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
16%
4 goals:
7%
Lions Gibraltar Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
78%
1 goals:
20%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (23%) 2-0 (21%) 0-0 (13%) 3-0 (13%) 1-1 (6%) 2-1 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 18%
Over 2.5 Goals 33%
Under 2.5 Goals 67%
St Joseph S Fc Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 26 St Joseph… vs Mancheste… 0-2
Apr 19 St Joseph… vs Europa 2-1
Apr 11 St Joseph… vs Magpies 0-2
Apr 05 St Joseph… vs Lincoln R… 0-1
Mar 07 St Joseph… vs Europa 2-1
Feb 19 St Joseph… vs Magpies 1-3
Feb 15 St Joseph… vs Lions Gib… 1-1
Feb 09 St Joseph… vs Lincoln R… 0-0
Feb 02 St Joseph… vs College 1… 5-0
Jan 12 St Joseph… vs Mancheste… 2-1
Lions Gibraltar Form 0.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 25 Lions Gib… vs Europa 1-4
Apr 20 Lions Gib… vs Lincoln R… 3-0
Apr 13 Lions Gib… vs Mancheste… 1-0
Apr 05 Lions Gib… vs Magpies 1-2
Mar 29 Lions Gib… vs Magpies 1-3
Mar 15 Lions Gib… vs Europa 3-0
Mar 02 Lions Gib… vs Mancheste… 2-1
Feb 26 Lions Gib… vs Mancheste… 1-1
Feb 22 Lions Gib… vs Lincoln R… 1-2
Feb 15 Lions Gib… vs St Joseph… 1-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • St Joseph S Fc in strong form (4W in last 5) Home
  • Lions Gibraltar struggling (5L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 8 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Feb 15, 2025 St Joseph S Fc 1 - 1 Lions Gibraltar Rock Cup
Nov 23, 2024 Lions Gibraltar 1 - 3 St Joseph S Fc Premier Divisi…
Oct 20, 2024 St Joseph S Fc 2 - 1 Lions Gibraltar Premier Divisi…
Jan 20, 2024 St Joseph S Fc 3 - 2 Lions Gibraltar Premier Divisi…
Sep 23, 2023 Lions Gibraltar 1 - 5 St Joseph S Fc Premier Divisi…
Oct 02, 2022 Lions Gibraltar 1 - 4 St Joseph S Fc Premier Divisi…
Oct 23, 2021 Lions Gibraltar 1 - 2 St Joseph S Fc Premier Divisi…
May 08, 2021 Lions Gibraltar 0 - 2 St Joseph S Fc Premier Divisi…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: St Joseph S Fc to win (41% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 41% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
St Joseph S Fc Power 0
Lions Gibraltar Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

1

St Joseph S Fc Position

+4

Position Gap

5

Lions Gibraltar Position

Home Win Rate: 80%
Away Win Rate: 40%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.