AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Bundesliga Feb 17, 2024

FSV Mainz 05

Home
VS
14:30

FC Augsburg

Away
AI Predictions 41.0% Confidence
FSV Mainz 05 Win
41.0%
Draw
25.8%
FC Augsburg Win
33.2%
Home Win (41% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 78%
Standings 40%
Market 50%
Combined: 45% Draw Risk: 45%
xG: 1.45 - 0.61
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.4 vs 0.6
High draw risk (45%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
FSV Mainz 05 Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
24%
1 goals:
34%
2 goals:
25%
3 goals:
12%
4 goals:
4%
FC Augsburg Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
54%
1 goals:
33%
2 goals:
10%
3 goals:
2%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (18%) 2-0 (13%) 0-0 (13%) 1-1 (11%) 2-1 (8%) 0-1 (8%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 35%
Over 2.5 Goals 34%
Under 2.5 Goals 66%
FSV Mainz 05 Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 07 FSV Mainz… vs Union Ber… 1-1
Jan 26 FSV Mainz… vs Eintracht… 1-0
Jan 13 FSV Mainz… vs VfL Wolfs… 1-1
Dec 16 FSV Mainz… vs FC Heiden… 0-1
Dec 10 FSV Mainz… vs FC Koln 0-0
Nov 26 FSV Mainz… vs 1899 Hoff… 1-1
Nov 04 FSV Mainz… vs RB Leipzig 2-0
Oct 21 FSV Mainz… vs Bayern Mu… 1-3
Oct 06 FSV Mainz… vs Borussia … 2-2
Sep 23 FSV Mainz… vs FC Augsbu… 2-1
FC Augsburg Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 16 FC Augsbu… vs Hertha Be… 3-2
Feb 16 FC Augsbu… vs Hertha 3-2
Feb 10 FC Augsbu… vs RB Leipzig 2-2
Feb 10 FC Augsbu… vs FC St. Pa… 1-0
Feb 03 FC Augsbu… vs VfL Bochum 1-1
Feb 02 FC Augsbu… vs Holstein … 1-1
Feb 02 FC Augsbu… vs Holstein … 1-1
Jan 28 FC Augsbu… vs Eintracht… 1-0
Jan 28 FC Augsbu… vs Eintracht… 1-0
Jan 27 FC Augsbu… vs Bayern Mu… 2-3
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 6 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Sep 23, 2023 FC Augsburg 2 - 1 FSV Mainz 05 Bundesliga
Feb 11, 2023 FSV Mainz 05 3 - 1 FC Augsburg Bundesliga
Aug 20, 2022 FC Augsburg 1 - 2 FSV Mainz 05 Bundesliga
Apr 06, 2022 FC Augsburg 2 - 1 FSV Mainz 05 Bundesliga
Oct 22, 2021 FSV Mainz 05 4 - 1 FC Augsburg Bundesliga
Feb 28, 2021 FSV Mainz 05 0 - 1 FC Augsburg Bundesliga
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (33% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 33% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
FSV Mainz 05 Power 43
FC Augsburg Power 28
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

16

FSV Mainz 05 Position

-5

Position Gap

11

FC Augsburg Position
Home Win Rate: 20%
Away Win Rate: 22%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.