AI Match Insights
Bundesliga Sep 23, 2023
FC Augsburg
HomeVS
13:30
FSV Mainz 05
AwayAI Predictions 51.0% Confidence
FC Augsburg Win
Draw
FSV Mainz 05 Win
Home Win
(51% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
M85+S60 (75.3%)
POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
62%
Market
50%
Combined: 63%
Draw Risk: 20%
xG: 4.50 - 1.33
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.5 vs 1.3
Position gap: 5 places
Score Prediction Analysis
FC Augsburg Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
FSV Mainz 05 Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Most Likely Scorelines
3-1 (6%)
3-0 (4%)
2-1 (4%)
3-2 (4%)
2-0 (3%)
2-2 (3%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score)
73%
Over 2.5 Goals
63%
Under 2.5 Goals
37%
FC Augsburg Form 14.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 02 | FC Augsbu… vs Hertha Be… | 6-4 |
| Aug 27 | FC Augsbu… vs Bayern Mu… | 3-1 |
| Aug 20 | FC Augsbu… vs Holstein … | 2-4 |
| Aug 19 | FC Augsbu… vs Borussia … | 4-4 |
| Aug 06 | FC Augsbu… vs Eintracht… | 2-1 |
| May 27 | FC Augsbu… vs Borussia … | 2-0 |
| May 12 | FC Augsbu… vs FC Nurnbe… | 2-2 |
| May 06 | FC Augsbu… vs Union Ber… | 1-0 |
| Apr 29 | FC Augsbu… vs Eintracht… | 1-1 |
| Apr 22 | FC Augsbu… vs Eintracht… | 1-2 |
FSV Mainz 05 Form 10.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 20 | FSV Mainz… vs Union Ber… | 4-1 |
| Apr 30 | FSV Mainz… vs VfL Wolfs… | 3-0 |
| Apr 22 | FSV Mainz… vs Bayern Mu… | 3-1 |
| Apr 15 | FSV Mainz… vs FC Koln | 1-1 |
| Apr 01 | FSV Mainz… vs RB Leipzig | 0-3 |
| Mar 04 | FSV Mainz… vs 1899 Hoff… | 1-0 |
| Feb 24 | FSV Mainz… vs Borussia … | 4-0 |
| Feb 11 | FSV Mainz… vs FC Augsbu… | 3-1 |
| Feb 04 | FSV Mainz… vs Union Ber… | 2-1 |
| Feb 01 | FSV Mainz… vs Bayern Mu… | 0-4 |
Key Analysis Factors
- FC Augsburg in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 5 matches
| Date | Home Team | Score | Away Team | League |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 11, 2023 | FSV Mainz 05 | 3 - 1 | FC Augsburg | Bundesliga |
| Aug 20, 2022 | FC Augsburg | 1 - 2 | FSV Mainz 05 | Bundesliga |
| Apr 06, 2022 | FC Augsburg | 2 - 1 | FSV Mainz 05 | Bundesliga |
| Oct 22, 2021 | FSV Mainz 05 | 4 - 1 | FC Augsburg | Bundesliga |
| Feb 28, 2021 | FSV Mainz 05 | 0 - 1 | FC Augsburg | Bundesliga |
Final Verdict
PRO: FC Augsburg to win (70% confidence)
PRO Tier
Predicted: 2-1
70% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%)
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%)
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
- No key factors identified
FC Augsburg Power
28
FSV Mainz 05 Power
43
Home Form
N/A
Away Form
N/A
League Standings Context
11
FC Augsburg Position+5
Position Gap16
FSV Mainz 05 Position
Home Win Rate: 36%
Away Win Rate: 20%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis.
Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.