AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Bundesliga Aug 20, 2022

FC Augsburg

Home
VS
13:30

FSV Mainz 05

Away
AI Predictions 43.0% Confidence
FC Augsburg Win
43.0%
Draw
25.4%
FSV Mainz 05 Win
31.6%
Home Win (43% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 82%
Standings 62%
Market 50%
Combined: 50% Draw Risk: 32%
xG: 2.30 - 1.16
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.3 vs 1.2 Position gap: 5 places
High draw risk (32%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
FC Augsburg Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
10%
1 goals:
23%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
20%
4 goals:
12%
FSV Mainz 05 Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
31%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
21%
3 goals:
8%
4 goals:
2%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1 (10%) 1-1 (8%) 2-0 (8%) 3-1 (7%) 1-0 (7%) 3-0 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 62%
Over 2.5 Goals 64%
Under 2.5 Goals 36%
FC Augsburg Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 19 FC Augsbu… vs Hannover … 0-4
Aug 13 FC Augsbu… vs Bayer Lev… 1-2
Aug 07 FC Augsbu… vs Holstein … 1-2
Aug 06 FC Augsbu… vs SC Freibu… 0-4
Jul 16 FC Augsbu… vs Fortuna D… 1-2
May 14 FC Augsbu… vs SpVgg Gre… 2-1
Apr 29 FC Augsbu… vs Eintracht… 2-1
Apr 09 FC Augsbu… vs Bayern Mu… 1-0
Apr 06 FC Augsbu… vs FSV Mainz… 2-1
Feb 19 FC Augsbu… vs SC Freibu… 1-2
FSV Mainz 05 Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 14 FSV Mainz… vs Union Ber… 0-0
Apr 30 FSV Mainz… vs Bayern Mu… 3-1
Apr 22 FSV Mainz… vs VfL Wolfs… 5-0
Apr 09 FSV Mainz… vs FC Koln 3-2
Apr 06 FSV Mainz… vs FC Augsbu… 2-1
Apr 03 FSV Mainz… vs Borussia … 1-1
Feb 26 FSV Mainz… vs Union Ber… 3-1
Feb 05 FSV Mainz… vs 1899 Hoff… 2-0
Jan 08 FSV Mainz… vs RB Leipzig 4-1
Dec 11 FSV Mainz… vs Bayern Mu… 2-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • FC Augsburg struggling (4L in last 5) Home
  • FSV Mainz 05 struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Apr 06, 2022 FC Augsburg 2 - 1 FSV Mainz 05 Bundesliga
Oct 22, 2021 FSV Mainz 05 4 - 1 FC Augsburg Bundesliga
Feb 28, 2021 FSV Mainz 05 0 - 1 FC Augsburg Bundesliga
Final Verdict

PRO: FC Augsburg to win (70% confidence)

PRO Tier
Predicted: 2-1 70% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
FC Augsburg Power 28
FSV Mainz 05 Power 43
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

11

FC Augsburg Position

+5

Position Gap

16

FSV Mainz 05 Position
Home Win Rate: 36%
Away Win Rate: 20%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.