AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Bundesliga Apr 06, 2022

FC Augsburg

Home
VS
16:30

FSV Mainz 05

Away
AI Predictions 45.0% Confidence
FC Augsburg Win
45.0%
Draw
25.0%
FSV Mainz 05 Win
30.0%
Home Win (45% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
M85+S60 (75.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 62%
Market 50%
Combined: 53% Draw Risk: 26%
xG: 3.22 - 0.40
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.2 vs 0.4 Position gap: 5 places
High draw risk (26%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
FC Augsburg Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
4%
1 goals:
13%
2 goals:
21%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
18%
FSV Mainz 05 Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
67%
1 goals:
27%
2 goals:
5%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (15%) 2-0 (14%) 1-0 (9%) 3-1 (6%) 2-1 (6%) 1-1 (3%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 32%
Over 2.5 Goals 59%
Under 2.5 Goals 41%
FC Augsburg Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 19 FC Augsbu… vs SC Freibu… 1-2
Feb 12 FC Augsbu… vs Borussia … 3-2
Feb 05 FC Augsbu… vs Union Ber… 2-0
Jan 22 FC Augsbu… vs Bayer Lev… 5-1
Jan 16 FC Augsbu… vs Eintracht… 1-1
Jan 08 FC Augsbu… vs 1899 Hoff… 3-1
Dec 18 FC Augsbu… vs SpVgg Gre… 0-0
Nov 27 FC Augsbu… vs Eintracht… 2-0
Nov 19 FC Augsbu… vs Bayern Mu… 2-1
Oct 22 FC Augsbu… vs FSV Mainz… 4-1
FSV Mainz 05 Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 03 FSV Mainz… vs Borussia … 1-1
Feb 26 FSV Mainz… vs Union Ber… 3-1
Feb 05 FSV Mainz… vs 1899 Hoff… 2-0
Jan 08 FSV Mainz… vs RB Leipzig 4-1
Dec 11 FSV Mainz… vs Bayern Mu… 2-1
Dec 04 FSV Mainz… vs VfL Wolfs… 3-0
Nov 21 FSV Mainz… vs FC Koln 1-1
Nov 05 FSV Mainz… vs Borussia … 1-1
Oct 22 FSV Mainz… vs FC Augsbu… 4-1
Oct 03 FSV Mainz… vs Union Ber… 1-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • FC Augsburg struggling (3L in last 5) Home
  • FSV Mainz 05 struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Oct 22, 2021 FSV Mainz 05 4 - 1 FC Augsburg Bundesliga
Feb 28, 2021 FSV Mainz 05 0 - 1 FC Augsburg Bundesliga
Final Verdict

PRO: FC Augsburg to win (70% confidence)

PRO Tier
Predicted: 2-1 70% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
FC Augsburg Power 28
FSV Mainz 05 Power 43
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

11

FC Augsburg Position

+5

Position Gap

16

FSV Mainz 05 Position
Home Win Rate: 36%
Away Win Rate: 20%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.