AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Bundesliga Oct 22, 2021

FSV Mainz 05

Home
VS
18:30

FC Augsburg

Away
AI Predictions 59.0% Confidence
FSV Mainz 05 Win
59.0%
Draw
22.2%
FC Augsburg Win
18.8%
Home Win (59% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 79%
Standings 40%
Market 50%
Combined: 46% Draw Risk: 46%
xG: 1.13 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.1 vs 0.2
High draw risk (46%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
FSV Mainz 05 Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
32%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
21%
3 goals:
8%
4 goals:
2%
FC Augsburg Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (30%) 0-0 (26%) 2-0 (17%) 3-0 (6%) 1-1 (6%) 0-1 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 12%
Over 2.5 Goals 15%
Under 2.5 Goals 85%
FSV Mainz 05 Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 03 FSV Mainz… vs Union Ber… 1-2
Sep 11 FSV Mainz… vs 1899 Hoff… 0-2
Aug 15 FSV Mainz… vs RB Leipzig 1-0
May 22 FSV Mainz… vs VfL Wolfs… 2-3
Apr 11 FSV Mainz… vs FC Koln 2-3
Feb 28 FSV Mainz… vs FC Augsbu… 0-1
Feb 20 FSV Mainz… vs Borussia … 1-2
Feb 06 FSV Mainz… vs Union Ber… 1-0
Jan 23 FSV Mainz… vs RB Leipzig 3-2
Dec 12 FSV Mainz… vs FC Koln 0-1
FC Augsburg Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 26 FC Augsbu… vs SC Freibu… 3-0
Sep 18 FC Augsbu… vs Borussia … 1-0
Sep 11 FC Augsbu… vs Union Ber… 0-0
Aug 28 FC Augsbu… vs Bayer Lev… 1-4
Aug 21 FC Augsbu… vs Eintracht… 0-0
Aug 14 FC Augsbu… vs 1899 Hoff… 0-4
Jul 07 FC Augsbu… vs Hamburger… 2-2
May 15 FC Augsbu… vs Werder Br… 2-0
Apr 20 FC Augsbu… vs Eintracht… 2-0
Mar 21 FC Augsbu… vs SC Freibu… 2-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • FSV Mainz 05 in strong form (4W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Feb 28, 2021 FSV Mainz 05 0 - 1 FC Augsburg Bundesliga
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (33% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 33% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
FSV Mainz 05 Power 43
FC Augsburg Power 28
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

16

FSV Mainz 05 Position

-5

Position Gap

11

FC Augsburg Position
Home Win Rate: 20%
Away Win Rate: 22%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.