AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Bundesliga Feb 28, 2021

FSV Mainz 05

Home
VS
14:30

FC Augsburg

Away
AI Predictions 59.0% Confidence
FSV Mainz 05 Win
59.0%
Draw
22.2%
FC Augsburg Win
18.8%
Home Win (59% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 90%
Standings 40%
Market 50%
Combined: 48% Draw Risk: 37%
xG: 2.11 - 0.38
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.1 vs 0.4
High draw risk (37%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
FSV Mainz 05 Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
12%
1 goals:
26%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
19%
4 goals:
10%
FC Augsburg Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
68%
1 goals:
26%
2 goals:
5%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (18%) 1-0 (17%) 3-0 (13%) 0-0 (8%) 2-1 (7%) 1-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 28%
Over 2.5 Goals 43%
Under 2.5 Goals 57%
FSV Mainz 05 Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 20 FSV Mainz… vs Borussia … 1-2
Feb 06 FSV Mainz… vs Union Ber… 1-0
Jan 23 FSV Mainz… vs RB Leipzig 3-2
Dec 12 FSV Mainz… vs FC Koln 0-1
Oct 24 FSV Mainz… vs Borussia … 2-3
Oct 02 FSV Mainz… vs Union Ber… 4-0
May 17 FSV Mainz… vs FC Koln 2-2
FC Augsburg Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 21 FC Augsbu… vs Bayer Lev… 1-1
Feb 06 FC Augsbu… vs Dynamo Dr… 0-1
Jan 16 FC Augsbu… vs Werder Br… 2-0
Dec 19 FC Augsbu… vs Eintracht… 0-2
Nov 21 FC Augsbu… vs Borussia … 1-1
Oct 26 FC Augsbu… vs Bayer Lev… 3-1
Oct 10 FC Augsbu… vs Dynamo Dr… 1-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • FSV Mainz 05 in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
  • FC Augsburg struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (33% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 33% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
FSV Mainz 05 Power 43
FC Augsburg Power 28
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

16

FSV Mainz 05 Position

-5

Position Gap

11

FC Augsburg Position
Home Win Rate: 20%
Away Win Rate: 22%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.