AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Bundesliga Dec 21, 2024

VfB Stuttgart

Home
VS
14:30

FC St. Pauli

Away
AI Predictions 69.0% Confidence
VfB Stuttgart Win
69.0%
Draw
20.2%
FC St. Pauli Win
10.8%
Home Win (69% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
S70+DR<22 (82.1%) S75+DR<25 (81.8%) M75+S65+DR<22 (81.1%) M70+S70+DR<22 (80.6%) GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%) GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%) HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%) M85+S60 (75.3%) GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%) POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) TOP5vsBOT (72.7%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) CS65+DR<30 (68.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 90%
Market 50%
Combined: 68% Draw Risk: 5%
xG: 4.50 - 0.67
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.5 vs 0.7 Position gap: 13 places
Score Prediction Analysis
VfB Stuttgart Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1%
1 goals:
5%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
19%
FC St. Pauli Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
51%
1 goals:
34%
2 goals:
12%
3 goals:
3%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (9%) 3-1 (6%) 2-0 (6%) 2-1 (4%) 1-0 (3%) 3-2 (2%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 48%
Over 2.5 Goals 59%
Under 2.5 Goals 41%
VfB Stuttgart Form 20.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 15 VfB Stutt… vs 1899 Hoff… 1-3
Dec 11 VfB Stutt… vs BSC Young… 5-1
Dec 06 VfB Stutt… vs Union Ber… 3-2
Dec 06 VfB Stutt… vs Union Ber… 3-2
Dec 03 VfB Stutt… vs Jahn Rege… 0-3
Nov 30 VfB Stutt… vs Werder Br… 2-2
Nov 30 VfB Stutt… vs Werder Br… 2-2
Nov 23 VfB Stutt… vs VfL Bochum 2-0
Nov 23 VfB Stutt… vs VfL Bochum 2-0
Nov 10 VfB Stutt… vs Eintracht… 2-3
FC St. Pauli Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 14 FC St. Pa… vs Werder Br… 0-2
Dec 07 FC St. Pa… vs Bayer Lev… 2-1
Dec 07 FC St. Pa… vs Bayer Lev… 2-1
Nov 29 FC St. Pa… vs Holstein … 3-1
Nov 24 FC St. Pa… vs Borussia … 2-0
Nov 24 FC St. Pa… vs M'gladbach 2-0
Nov 09 FC St. Pa… vs Bayern Mu… 0-1
Nov 09 FC St. Pa… vs Bayern Mu… 0-1
Nov 02 FC St. Pa… vs 1899 Hoff… 0-2
Oct 29 FC St. Pa… vs RB Leipzig 4-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • VfB Stuttgart in strong form (5W in last 5) Home
  • FC St. Pauli struggling (4L in last 5) Away
Final Verdict

PRO: VfB Stuttgart to win (74% confidence)

PRO Tier
Predicted: 1-0 74% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_12+ (76.8%) AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
VfB Stuttgart Power 46
FC St. Pauli Power 35
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

4

VfB Stuttgart Position

+13

Position Gap

17

FC St. Pauli Position
Home Win Rate: 70%
Away Win Rate: 9%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.