AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Bundesliga Dec 22, 2024

VfL Wolfsburg

Home
VS
16:30

Borussia Dortmund

Away
AI Predictions 53.0% Confidence
VfL Wolfsburg Win
53.0%
Draw
23.4%
Borussia Dortmund Win
23.6%
Home Win (53% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 30%
Market 50%
Combined: 48% Draw Risk: 29%
xG: 3.14 - 0.45
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.1 vs 0.5
High draw risk (28%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
VfL Wolfsburg Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
4%
1 goals:
14%
2 goals:
21%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
18%
Borussia Dortmund Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
64%
1 goals:
29%
2 goals:
7%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (14%) 2-0 (14%) 1-0 (9%) 3-1 (6%) 2-1 (6%) 1-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 35%
Over 2.5 Goals 60%
Under 2.5 Goals 40%
VfL Wolfsburg Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 13 VfL Wolfs… vs SC Freibu… 3-2
Dec 13 VfL Wolfs… vs SC Freibu… 3-2
Dec 08 VfL Wolfs… vs Mainz 4-3
Dec 08 VfL Wolfs… vs FSV Mainz… 4-3
Dec 04 VfL Wolfs… vs 1899 Hoff… 3-0
Nov 30 VfL Wolfs… vs RB Leipzig 1-5
Nov 23 VfL Wolfs… vs Union Ber… 1-0
Nov 23 VfL Wolfs… vs Union Ber… 1-0
Nov 10 VfL Wolfs… vs FC Heiden… 1-3
Nov 10 VfL Wolfs… vs 1899 Hoff… 1-3
Borussia Dortmund Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 15 Borussia … vs 1899 Hoff… 1-1
Dec 15 Borussia … vs 1899 Hoff… 1-1
Dec 07 Borussia … vs Borussia … 1-1
Dec 07 Borussia … vs M'gladbach 1-1
Nov 30 Borussia … vs Bayern Mu… 1-1
Nov 23 Borussia … vs SC Freibu… 4-0
Nov 23 Borussia … vs SC Freibu… 4-0
Nov 09 Borussia … vs Mainz 3-1
Nov 02 Borussia … vs RB Leipzig 2-1
Oct 29 Borussia … vs VfL Wolfs… 1-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • VfL Wolfsburg in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 8 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Oct 29, 2024 VfL Wolfsburg 1 - 0 Borussia Dortmund DFB Pokal
Feb 17, 2024 VfL Wolfsburg 1 - 1 Borussia Dortmund Pro League
Feb 17, 2024 VfL Wolfsburg 1 - 1 Borussia Dortmund Bundesliga
Sep 23, 2023 Borussia Dortmund 1 - 0 VfL Wolfsburg Bundesliga
May 07, 2023 Borussia Dortmund 6 - 0 VfL Wolfsburg Bundesliga
Nov 08, 2022 VfL Wolfsburg 2 - 0 Borussia Dortmund Bundesliga
Apr 16, 2022 Borussia Dortmund 6 - 1 VfL Wolfsburg Bundesliga
Nov 27, 2021 VfL Wolfsburg 1 - 3 Borussia Dortmund Bundesliga
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (33% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 33% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
VfL Wolfsburg Power 35
Borussia Dortmund Power 47
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

14

VfL Wolfsburg Position

-12

Position Gap

2

Borussia Dortmund Position
Home Win Rate: 20%
Away Win Rate: 50%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.