AI Match Insights

Bundesliga Feb 17, 2024

VfL Wolfsburg

Home
VS
14:30

Borussia Dortmund

Away
AI Predictions 42.8% Confidence
VfL Wolfsburg Win
29.0%
Draw
28.2%
Borussia Dortmund Win
42.8%
Away Win (43% confidence)
Predicted Score: 0-1
Decision Justification
Player Score 40%
Momentum 37%
Standings 30%
Market 50%
Combined: 33% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 0.30 - 1.21
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
VfL Wolfsburg Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
74%
1 goals:
22%
2 goals:
3%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Borussia Dortmund Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
30%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
22%
3 goals:
9%
4 goals:
3%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1 (27%) 0-0 (22%) 0-2 (16%) 1-1 (8%) 1-0 (7%) 0-3 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 18%
Over 2.5 Goals 19%
Under 2.5 Goals 81%
VfL Wolfsburg Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 10 VfL Wolfs… vs Union Ber… 1-0
Feb 10 VfL Wolfs… vs Union Ber… 1-0
Feb 04 VfL Wolfs… vs 1899 Hoff… 2-2
Jan 27 VfL Wolfs… vs FC Koln 1-1
Jan 27 VfL Wolfs… vs FC Koln 1-1
Jan 20 VfL Wolfs… vs FC Heiden… 1-1
Jan 20 VfL Wolfs… vs 1899 Hoff… 1-1
Jan 13 VfL Wolfs… vs FSV Mainz… 1-1
Jan 13 VfL Wolfs… vs Mainz 1-1
Dec 20 VfL Wolfs… vs Bayern Mu… 1-2
Borussia Dortmund Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 09 Borussia … vs SC Freibu… 3-0
Feb 09 Borussia … vs SC Freibu… 3-0
Feb 02 Borussia … vs 1899 Hoff… 0-0
Feb 02 Borussia … vs FC Heiden… 0-0
Jan 28 Borussia … vs VfL Bochum 3-1
Jan 20 Borussia … vs FC Koln 0-4
Jan 13 Borussia … vs SV Darmst… 0-3
Dec 19 Borussia … vs Mainz 1-1
Dec 16 Borussia … vs FC Augsbu… 1-1
Dec 13 Borussia … vs Paris Sai… 1-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Borussia Dortmund in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 5 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Sep 23, 2023 Borussia Dortmund 1 - 0 VfL Wolfsburg Bundesliga
May 07, 2023 Borussia Dortmund 6 - 0 VfL Wolfsburg Bundesliga
Nov 08, 2022 VfL Wolfsburg 2 - 0 Borussia Dortmund Bundesliga
Apr 16, 2022 Borussia Dortmund 6 - 1 VfL Wolfsburg Bundesliga
Nov 27, 2021 VfL Wolfsburg 1 - 3 Borussia Dortmund Bundesliga
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (33% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 33% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
VfL Wolfsburg Power 35
Borussia Dortmund Power 47
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

14

VfL Wolfsburg Position

-12

Position Gap

2

Borussia Dortmund Position

Home Win Rate: 20%
Away Win Rate: 50%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.