AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Bundesliga May 07, 2023

Borussia Dortmund

Home
VS
15:30

VfL Wolfsburg

Away
AI Predictions 55.0% Confidence
Borussia Dortmund Win
55.0%
Draw
23.0%
VfL Wolfsburg Win
22.0%
Home Win (55% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
S75+DR<25 (81.8%) GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%) GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%) HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%) M85+S60 (75.3%) HWR80+DR<25 (75.0%) GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%) POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) TOP5vsBOT (72.7%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) CS65+DR<30 (68.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 88%
Market 50%
Combined: 68% Draw Risk: 22%
xG: 2.95 - 0.51
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.0 vs 0.5 Position gap: 12 places
Score Prediction Analysis
Borussia Dortmund Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
5%
1 goals:
15%
2 goals:
23%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
17%
VfL Wolfsburg Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
60%
1 goals:
31%
2 goals:
8%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (14%) 3-0 (13%) 1-0 (9%) 2-1 (7%) 3-1 (7%) 1-1 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 38%
Over 2.5 Goals 59%
Under 2.5 Goals 41%
Borussia Dortmund Form 18.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 22 Borussia … vs Eintracht… 4-0
Apr 15 Borussia … vs VfB Stutt… 3-3
Apr 08 Borussia … vs Union Ber… 2-1
Feb 25 Borussia … vs 1899 Hoff… 0-1
Feb 11 Borussia … vs Werder Br… 0-2
Feb 04 Borussia … vs SC Freibu… 5-1
Jan 29 Borussia … vs Bayer Lev… 0-2
Nov 11 Borussia … vs Borussia … 4-2
Nov 08 Borussia … vs VfL Wolfs… 2-0
Oct 29 Borussia … vs Eintracht… 1-2
VfL Wolfsburg Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 30 VfL Wolfs… vs FSV Mainz… 3-0
Apr 16 VfL Wolfs… vs Bayer Lev… 0-0
Apr 09 VfL Wolfs… vs Borussia … 2-0
Mar 12 VfL Wolfs… vs Union Ber… 1-1
Feb 25 VfL Wolfs… vs FC Koln 0-2
Feb 05 VfL Wolfs… vs Bayern Mu… 2-4
Jan 31 VfL Wolfs… vs Union Ber… 2-1
Jan 21 VfL Wolfs… vs SC Freibu… 6-0
Nov 08 VfL Wolfs… vs Borussia … 2-0
Nov 05 VfL Wolfs… vs FSV Mainz… 0-3
Key Analysis Factors
  • Borussia Dortmund in strong form (4W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Nov 08, 2022 VfL Wolfsburg 2 - 0 Borussia Dortmund Bundesliga
Apr 16, 2022 Borussia Dortmund 6 - 1 VfL Wolfsburg Bundesliga
Nov 27, 2021 VfL Wolfsburg 1 - 3 Borussia Dortmund Bundesliga
Final Verdict

MASTER: Borussia Dortmund to win (75% confidence)

MASTER Tier
Predicted: 1-0 75% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_12+ (76.8%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Borussia Dortmund Power 47
VfL Wolfsburg Power 35
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

2

Borussia Dortmund Position

+12

Position Gap

14

VfL Wolfsburg Position
Home Win Rate: 80%
Away Win Rate: 30%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.