AI Match Insights

Segunda División Feb 13, 2022

Las Palmas

Home
VS
20:00

Burgos

Away
AI Predictions 43.0% Confidence
Las Palmas Win
43.0%
Draw
25.4%
Burgos Win
31.6%
Home Win (43% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 91%
Standings 56%
Market 50%
Combined: 51% Draw Risk: 37%
xG: 2.04 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.0 vs 0.2
High draw risk (36%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Las Palmas Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
13%
1 goals:
27%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
18%
4 goals:
9%
Burgos Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (22%) 1-0 (22%) 3-0 (15%) 0-0 (11%) 2-1 (4%) 1-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 16%
Over 2.5 Goals 37%
Under 2.5 Goals 63%
Las Palmas Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 30 Las Palmas vs Real Soci… 0-0
Dec 15 Las Palmas vs Valladolid 3-1
Nov 13 Las Palmas vs Zaragoza 2-3
Oct 29 Las Palmas vs Real Soci… 0-1
Sep 20 Las Palmas vs Burgos 0-0
Sep 05 Las Palmas vs Mirandes 4-2
Aug 15 Las Palmas vs Valladolid 1-1
May 24 Las Palmas vs Albacete 3-2
Burgos Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 23 Burgos vs Levante 4-0
Dec 14 Burgos vs Zaragoza 2-0
Nov 27 Burgos vs Malaga 3-0
Nov 07 Burgos vs AlmerĆ­a 2-0
Nov 04 Burgos vs Zaragoza 0-1
Oct 24 Burgos vs Huesca 3-1
Oct 03 Burgos vs Mirandes 1-0
Sep 20 Burgos vs Las Palmas 0-0
Aug 29 Burgos vs Eibar 0-1
Aug 23 Burgos vs Levante 0-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Burgos struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Sep 20, 2021 Burgos 0 - 0 Las Palmas Segunda Divisi…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (33% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 33% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Las Palmas Power 39
Burgos Power 37
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

5

Las Palmas Position

+3

Position Gap

8

Burgos Position

Home Win Rate: 50%
Away Win Rate: 46%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.