AI Match Insights
Eredivisie Sep 21, 2024
NEC Nijmegen
HomeVS
19:00
Heracles
AwayAI Predictions 61.0% Confidence
NEC Nijmegen Win
Draw
Heracles Win
Home Win
(61% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%)
TOP3vsBot (75.8%)
GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%)
POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)
GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)
TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)
HWR60+ (68.3%)
POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score
40%
Momentum
81%
Standings
90%
Market
50%
Combined: 54%
Draw Risk: 54%
xG: 1.25 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.2 vs 0.2
Position gap: 13 places
High draw risk (54%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
NEC Nijmegen Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Heracles Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (29%)
0-0 (23%)
2-0 (18%)
3-0 (8%)
1-1 (6%)
0-1 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score)
13%
Over 2.5 Goals
18%
Under 2.5 Goals
82%
NEC Nijmegen Form 14.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 03 | NEC Nijme… vs Heracles | 3-1 |
| Aug 18 | NEC Nijme… vs Heracles | 2-1 |
| Jul 29 | NEC Nijme… vs Heracles | 1-3 |
| Jan 15 | NEC Nijme… vs Heracles | 0-0 |
| Aug 29 | NEC Nijme… vs Heracles | 0-1 |
| Jul 24 | NEC Nijme… vs Heracles | 0-1 |
Heracles Form 4.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 15 | Heracles vs Almere Ci… | 0-0 |
| Sep 01 | Heracles vs Zwolle | 3-0 |
| Aug 25 | Heracles vs Willem II | 1-1 |
| Aug 18 | Heracles vs PSV Eindh… | 1-3 |
| Aug 18 | Heracles vs PSV Eindh… | 1-3 |
| Aug 11 | Heracles vs Sparta Ro… | 0-0 |
| Aug 11 | Heracles vs Sparta Ro… | 0-0 |
| May 25 | Heracles vs Hsc 21 | 3-0 |
| May 19 | Heracles vs Fortuna S… | 0-0 |
| May 19 | Heracles vs Fortuna S… | 0-0 |
Key Analysis Factors
- NEC Nijmegen in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
- Heracles struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 6 matches
| Date | Home Team | Score | Away Team | League |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 03, 2024 | NEC Nijmegen | 3 - 1 | Heracles | Eredivisie |
| Aug 18, 2023 | Heracles | 2 - 1 | NEC Nijmegen | Eredivisie |
| Jul 29, 2022 | Heracles | 1 - 3 | NEC Nijmegen | Friendlies Clu… |
| Jan 15, 2022 | NEC Nijmegen | 0 - 0 | Heracles | Eredivisie |
| Aug 29, 2021 | Heracles | 0 - 1 | NEC Nijmegen | Eredivisie |
| Jul 24, 2021 | Heracles | 0 - 1 | NEC Nijmegen | Friendlies Clu… |
Final Verdict
STANDARD: NEC Nijmegen to win (35% confidence)
STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0
35% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%)
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
- No key factors identified
NEC Nijmegen Power
0
Heracles Power
0
Home Form
N/A
Away Form
N/A
League Standings Context
3
NEC Nijmegen Position+13
Position Gap16
Heracles Position
Home Win Rate: 67%
Away Win Rate: 9%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis.
Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.