AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Eredivisie Feb 03, 2024

NEC Nijmegen

Home
VS
20:00

Heracles

Away
AI Predictions 55.0% Confidence
NEC Nijmegen Win
55.0%
Draw
23.0%
Heracles Win
22.0%
Home Win (55% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%) TOP3vsBot (75.8%) GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%) POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) TOP5vsBOT (72.7%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 80%
Standings 90%
Market 50%
Combined: 54% Draw Risk: 45%
xG: 1.33 - 0.32
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.3 vs 0.3 Position gap: 13 places
High draw risk (45%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
NEC Nijmegen Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
26%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
23%
3 goals:
10%
4 goals:
3%
Heracles Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
73%
1 goals:
23%
2 goals:
4%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (26%) 0-0 (19%) 2-0 (17%) 1-1 (8%) 3-0 (8%) 0-1 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 20%
Over 2.5 Goals 23%
Under 2.5 Goals 77%
NEC Nijmegen Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 18 NEC Nijme… vs Heracles 2-1
Jul 29 NEC Nijme… vs Heracles 1-3
Jan 15 NEC Nijme… vs Heracles 0-0
Aug 29 NEC Nijme… vs Heracles 0-1
Jul 24 NEC Nijme… vs Heracles 0-1
Heracles Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 27 Heracles vs Ajax 2-4
Jan 25 Heracles vs Cambuur 3-4
Jan 20 Heracles vs FC Volend… 1-1
Jan 12 Heracles vs Waalwijk 1-2
Jan 07 Heracles vs PSV Eindh… 1-1
Dec 21 Heracles vs Ajax 3-2
Dec 17 Heracles vs Feyenoord 0-4
Dec 17 Heracles vs Feyenoord 0-4
Dec 10 Heracles vs Vitesse 2-0
Dec 02 Heracles vs Sparta Ro… 0-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • NEC Nijmegen in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 5 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Aug 18, 2023 Heracles 2 - 1 NEC Nijmegen Eredivisie
Jul 29, 2022 Heracles 1 - 3 NEC Nijmegen Friendlies Clu…
Jan 15, 2022 NEC Nijmegen 0 - 0 Heracles Eredivisie
Aug 29, 2021 Heracles 0 - 1 NEC Nijmegen Eredivisie
Jul 24, 2021 Heracles 0 - 1 NEC Nijmegen Friendlies Clu…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: NEC Nijmegen to win (35% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 35% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
NEC Nijmegen Power 0
Heracles Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

3

NEC Nijmegen Position

+13

Position Gap

16

Heracles Position
Home Win Rate: 67%
Away Win Rate: 9%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.