AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Eredivisie Jan 15, 2022

NEC Nijmegen

Home
VS
17:45

Heracles

Away
AI Predictions 69.0% Confidence
NEC Nijmegen Win
69.0%
Draw
20.2%
Heracles Win
10.8%
Home Win (69% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
S70+DR<22 (82.1%) S75+DR<25 (81.8%) M75+S65+DR<22 (81.1%) M70+S70+DR<22 (80.6%) GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%) TOP3vsBot (75.8%) GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%) POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) TOP5vsBOT (72.7%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 81%
Standings 90%
Market 50%
Combined: 64% Draw Risk: 21%
xG: 2.01 - 0.93
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.0 vs 0.9 Position gap: 13 places
Score Prediction Analysis
NEC Nijmegen Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
13%
1 goals:
27%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
18%
4 goals:
9%
Heracles Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
40%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
17%
3 goals:
5%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (11%) 1-0 (11%) 2-1 (10%) 1-1 (10%) 3-0 (7%) 3-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 52%
Over 2.5 Goals 55%
Under 2.5 Goals 45%
NEC Nijmegen Form 20.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 29 NEC Nijme… vs Heracles 0-1
Jul 24 NEC Nijme… vs Heracles 0-1
Heracles Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 04 Heracles vs Heerenveen 0-1
Dec 01 Heracles vs Feyenoord 2-1
Nov 20 Heracles vs Fortuna S… 3-1
Nov 05 Heracles vs FC Twente 1-0
Oct 16 Heracles vs GO Ahead … 4-2
Aug 29 Heracles vs NEC Nijme… 0-1
Aug 21 Heracles vs Sparta Ro… 1-1
Aug 14 Heracles vs PSV Eindh… 0-2
Jul 24 Heracles vs NEC Nijme… 0-1
Jul 02 Heracles vs Sparta Ro… 1-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Heracles struggling (4L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Aug 29, 2021 Heracles 0 - 1 NEC Nijmegen Eredivisie
Jul 24, 2021 Heracles 0 - 1 NEC Nijmegen Friendlies Clu…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: NEC Nijmegen to win (35% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 35% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
NEC Nijmegen Power 0
Heracles Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

3

NEC Nijmegen Position

+13

Position Gap

16

Heracles Position
Home Win Rate: 67%
Away Win Rate: 9%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.