AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Eerste Divisie Apr 14, 2023

VVV Venlo

Home
VS
18:00

FC Eindhoven

Away
AI Predictions 49.0% Confidence
VVV Venlo Win
49.0%
Draw
24.2%
FC Eindhoven Win
26.8%
Home Win (49% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 80%
Standings 52%
Market 50%
Combined: 48% Draw Risk: 43%
xG: 1.18 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.2 vs 0.2
High draw risk (43%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
VVV Venlo Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
31%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
21%
3 goals:
8%
4 goals:
3%
FC Eindhoven Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (30%) 0-0 (25%) 2-0 (18%) 3-0 (7%) 1-1 (6%) 0-1 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 13%
Over 2.5 Goals 16%
Under 2.5 Goals 84%
VVV Venlo Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 09 VVV Venlo vs Willem II 2-1
Mar 19 VVV Venlo vs Roda 1-1
Mar 10 VVV Venlo vs Den Bosch 4-0
Feb 17 VVV Venlo vs Dordrecht 1-2
Feb 03 VVV Venlo vs Jong AZ 4-3
Jan 27 VVV Venlo vs ADO Den H… 0-0
Dec 16 VVV Venlo vs FC Eindho… 0-2
Nov 19 VVV Venlo vs Den Bosch 0-2
Nov 11 VVV Venlo vs Willem II 0-0
Nov 04 VVV Venlo vs ADO Den H… 2-3
FC Eindhoven Form 6.7%
Date Match Result
Dec 16 FC Eindho… vs VVV Venlo 0-2
Mar 11 FC Eindho… vs VVV Venlo 4-0
Nov 19 FC Eindho… vs VVV Venlo 2-0
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Dec 16, 2022 FC Eindhoven 0 - 2 VVV Venlo Eerste Divisie
Mar 11, 2022 FC Eindhoven 4 - 0 VVV Venlo Eerste Divisie
Nov 19, 2021 VVV Venlo 2 - 0 FC Eindhoven Eerste Divisie
Final Verdict

STANDARD: VVV Venlo to win (60% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 60% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_15+ (79.5%) AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • Huge position gap: 87
VVV Venlo Power 0
FC Eindhoven Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

12

VVV Venlo Position

+1

Position Gap

13

FC Eindhoven Position
Home Win Rate: 42%
Away Win Rate: 40%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.