AI Match Insights
FKF Premier League Dec 04, 2024
Shabana
HomeVS
11:00
Posta Rangers FC
AwayAI Predictions 45.0% Confidence
Shabana Win
Draw
Posta Rangers FC Win
Home Win
(45% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)
POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score
40%
Momentum
81%
Standings
65%
Market
50%
Combined: 50%
Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 1.27 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.3 vs 0.2
Position gap: 8 places
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Shabana Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Posta Rangers FC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (29%)
0-0 (23%)
2-0 (19%)
3-0 (8%)
1-1 (6%)
0-1 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score)
13%
Over 2.5 Goals
18%
Under 2.5 Goals
82%
Shabana Form 4.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 01 | Shabana vs Homeboyz | 2-0 |
| Oct 23 | Shabana vs Sofapaka | 0-1 |
| Oct 19 | Shabana vs Mara Sugar | 1-0 |
| Sep 22 | Shabana vs Ulinzi St… | 2-2 |
| Aug 24 | Shabana vs Bidco Uni… | 1-1 |
| Jun 19 | Shabana vs Bidco Uni… | 3-0 |
| May 11 | Shabana vs Gor Mahia | 1-0 |
| May 04 | Shabana vs Sofapaka | 0-1 |
| Apr 20 | Shabana vs Homeboyz | 0-0 |
| Apr 06 | Shabana vs Posta Ran… | 3-0 |
Posta Rangers FC Form 4.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 23 | Posta Ran… vs Mathare U… | 0-2 |
| Oct 27 | Posta Ran… vs Ulinzi St… | 1-2 |
| Oct 23 | Posta Ran… vs Mara Sugar | 1-1 |
| Sep 21 | Posta Ran… vs KCB | 0-3 |
| Aug 24 | Posta Ran… vs Bandari | 1-1 |
| Jun 19 | Posta Ran… vs Tusker | 1-2 |
| Jun 15 | Posta Ran… vs KCB | 0-0 |
| May 18 | Posta Ran… vs Homeboyz | 2-1 |
| May 15 | Posta Ran… vs Sofapaka | 2-1 |
| May 11 | Posta Ran… vs Bandari | 0-0 |
Key Analysis Factors
- Shabana struggling (3L in last 5) Home
- Posta Rangers FC struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
| Date | Home Team | Score | Away Team | League |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 06, 2024 | Shabana | 3 - 0 | Posta Rangers FC | FKF Premier Le… |
| Nov 25, 2023 | Posta Rangers FC | 3 - 1 | Shabana | FKF Premier Le… |
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Shabana to win (63% confidence)
STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0
63% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_8+ (72.1%)
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%)
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
- No key factors identified
Shabana Power
0
Posta Rangers FC Power
0
Home Form
N/A
Away Form
N/A
League Standings Context
3
Shabana Position+8
Position Gap11
Posta Rangers FC Position
Home Win Rate: 40%
Away Win Rate: 30%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis.
Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.