AI Match Insights

FKF Premier League Dec 22, 2024

AFC Leopards

Home
VS
13:00

Bandari

Away
AI Predictions 43.0% Confidence
AFC Leopards Win
43.0%
Draw
25.4%
Bandari Win
31.6%
Home Win (43% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 71%
Standings 74%
Market 50%
Combined: 49% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 1.13 - 0.39
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.1 vs 0.4 Position gap: 7 places
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
AFC Leopards Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
32%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
21%
3 goals:
8%
4 goals:
2%
Bandari Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
68%
1 goals:
26%
2 goals:
5%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (25%) 0-0 (22%) 2-0 (14%) 1-1 (10%) 0-1 (9%) 2-1 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 22%
Over 2.5 Goals 20%
Under 2.5 Goals 80%
AFC Leopards Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 15 AFC Leopa… vs Sofapaka 1-1
Dec 11 AFC Leopa… vs Tusker 4-1
Dec 07 AFC Leopa… vs Homeboyz 1-1
Dec 01 AFC Leopa… vs Police 1-0
Nov 03 AFC Leopa… vs Ulinzi St… 2-0
Oct 23 AFC Leopa… vs Murang'a … 1-0
Sep 21 AFC Leopa… vs Bidco Uni… 0-1
Jun 23 AFC Leopa… vs Ulinzi St… 0-1
May 27 AFC Leopa… vs Police 1-0
May 19 AFC Leopa… vs Bidco Uni… 0-1
Bandari Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 15 Bandari vs Mathare U… 2-2
Dec 08 Bandari vs KCB 1-1
Nov 27 Bandari vs Kariobang… 2-0
Nov 23 Bandari vs Homeboyz 0-0
Nov 06 Bandari vs Gor Mahia 2-0
Sep 28 Bandari vs Sofapaka 0-1
Aug 24 Bandari vs Posta Ran… 1-1
Jun 19 Bandari vs Police 0-0
Jun 15 Bandari vs Tusker 2-1
May 19 Bandari vs Sofapaka 2-2
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 7 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
May 05, 2024 AFC Leopards 1 - 0 Bandari FKF Premier Le…
Oct 22, 2023 Bandari 1 - 0 AFC Leopards FKF Premier Le…
Apr 30, 2023 AFC Leopards 3 - 0 Bandari Shield Cup
Mar 29, 2023 AFC Leopards 1 - 0 Bandari FKF Premier Le…
Jan 22, 2023 Bandari 0 - 2 AFC Leopards FKF Premier Le…
Mar 06, 2022 AFC Leopards 2 - 2 Bandari FKF Premier Le…
Oct 24, 2021 Bandari 2 - 1 AFC Leopards FKF Premier Le…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: AFC Leopards to win (61% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 61% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
AFC Leopards Power 0
Bandari Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

2

AFC Leopards Position

+7

Position Gap

9

Bandari Position

Home Win Rate: 50%
Away Win Rate: 10%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.