AI Match Insights
FKF Premier League Dec 03, 2023
Homeboyz
HomeVS
12:00
Bidco United
AwayAI Predictions 45.0% Confidence
Homeboyz Win
Draw
Bidco United Win
Home Win
(45% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)
POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score
40%
Momentum
83%
Standings
71%
Market
50%
Combined: 52%
Draw Risk: 45%
xG: 1.93 - 0.70
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.9 vs 0.7
Position gap: 11 places
High draw risk (45%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Homeboyz Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Bidco United Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (14%)
2-0 (13%)
1-1 (10%)
2-1 (9%)
3-0 (9%)
0-0 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score)
43%
Over 2.5 Goals
47%
Under 2.5 Goals
53%
Homeboyz Form 10.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 02 | Homeboyz vs Posta Ran⦠| 1-1 |
| Oct 29 | Homeboyz vs Kariobang⦠| 1-0 |
| Oct 01 | Homeboyz vs Bandari | 0-1 |
| Sep 24 | Homeboyz vs Gor Mahia | 1-1 |
| Jun 25 | Homeboyz vs Bidco Uni⦠| 1-1 |
| Jun 21 | Homeboyz vs Gor Mahia | 2-3 |
| Jun 04 | Homeboyz vs Mathare U⦠| 1-0 |
| May 20 | Homeboyz vs AFC Leopa⦠| 2-1 |
| Apr 30 | Homeboyz vs Kariobang⦠| 6-1 |
| Apr 16 | Homeboyz vs AFC Leopa⦠| 2-0 |
Bidco United Form 10.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 28 | Bidco Uni⦠vs Gor Mahia | 0-0 |
| Oct 22 | Bidco Uni⦠vs Murang'a ⦠| 0-0 |
| Sep 30 | Bidco Uni⦠vs Police | 2-0 |
| Jun 25 | Bidco Uni⦠vs Homeboyz | 1-1 |
| May 07 | Bidco Uni⦠vs Mathare U⦠| 0-3 |
| May 03 | Bidco Uni⦠vs Police | 2-0 |
| Apr 26 | Bidco Uni⦠vs AFC Leopa⦠| 1-1 |
| Apr 22 | Bidco Uni⦠vs Sofapaka | 0-3 |
| Apr 05 | Bidco Uni⦠vs Kariobang⦠| 1-2 |
| Mar 12 | Bidco Uni⦠vs Gor Mahia | 1-0 |
Key Analysis Factors
No specific factors identified for this match.
Head-to-Head History Last 4 matches
| Date | Home Team | Score | Away Team | League |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 25, 2023 | Homeboyz | 1 - 1 | Bidco United | FKF Premier Le⦠|
| Jan 19, 2023 | Bidco United | 1 - 1 | Homeboyz | FKF Premier Le⦠|
| Feb 27, 2022 | Homeboyz | 3 - 1 | Bidco United | FKF Premier Le⦠|
| Dec 11, 2021 | Bidco United | 0 - 0 | Homeboyz | FKF Premier Le⦠|
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Homeboyz to win (63% confidence)
STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0
63% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_10+ (74.9%)
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%)
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
- No key factors identified
Homeboyz Power
0
Bidco United Power
0
Home Form
N/A
Away Form
N/A
League Standings Context
6
Homeboyz Position+11
Position Gap17
Bidco United Position
Home Win Rate: 36%
Away Win Rate: 20%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis.
Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.