AI Match Insights

FKF Premier League Dec 03, 2023

Homeboyz

Home
VS
12:00

Bidco United

Away
AI Predictions 45.0% Confidence
Homeboyz Win
45.0%
Draw
25.0%
Bidco United Win
30.0%
Home Win (45% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 83%
Standings 71%
Market 50%
Combined: 52% Draw Risk: 45%
xG: 1.93 - 0.70
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.9 vs 0.7 Position gap: 11 places
High draw risk (45%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Homeboyz Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
15%
1 goals:
28%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
8%
Bidco United Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
50%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
12%
3 goals:
3%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (14%) 2-0 (13%) 1-1 (10%) 2-1 (9%) 3-0 (9%) 0-0 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 43%
Over 2.5 Goals 47%
Under 2.5 Goals 53%
Homeboyz Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 02 Homeboyz vs Posta Ran… 1-1
Oct 29 Homeboyz vs Kariobang… 1-0
Oct 01 Homeboyz vs Bandari 0-1
Sep 24 Homeboyz vs Gor Mahia 1-1
Jun 25 Homeboyz vs Bidco Uni… 1-1
Jun 21 Homeboyz vs Gor Mahia 2-3
Jun 04 Homeboyz vs Mathare U… 1-0
May 20 Homeboyz vs AFC Leopa… 2-1
Apr 30 Homeboyz vs Kariobang… 6-1
Apr 16 Homeboyz vs AFC Leopa… 2-0
Bidco United Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 28 Bidco Uni… vs Gor Mahia 0-0
Oct 22 Bidco Uni… vs Murang'a … 0-0
Sep 30 Bidco Uni… vs Police 2-0
Jun 25 Bidco Uni… vs Homeboyz 1-1
May 07 Bidco Uni… vs Mathare U… 0-3
May 03 Bidco Uni… vs Police 2-0
Apr 26 Bidco Uni… vs AFC Leopa… 1-1
Apr 22 Bidco Uni… vs Sofapaka 0-3
Apr 05 Bidco Uni… vs Kariobang… 1-2
Mar 12 Bidco Uni… vs Gor Mahia 1-0
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 4 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jun 25, 2023 Homeboyz 1 - 1 Bidco United FKF Premier Le…
Jan 19, 2023 Bidco United 1 - 1 Homeboyz FKF Premier Le…
Feb 27, 2022 Homeboyz 3 - 1 Bidco United FKF Premier Le…
Dec 11, 2021 Bidco United 0 - 0 Homeboyz FKF Premier Le…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Homeboyz to win (63% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 63% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_10+ (74.9%) AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Homeboyz Power 0
Bidco United Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

6

Homeboyz Position

+11

Position Gap

17

Bidco United Position

Home Win Rate: 36%
Away Win Rate: 20%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.