AI Match Insights

FKF Premier League Jun 25, 2023

Homeboyz

Home
VS
12:00

Bidco United

Away
AI Predictions 61.0% Confidence
Homeboyz Win
61.0%
Draw
21.8%
Bidco United Win
17.2%
Home Win (61% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 71%
Standings 71%
Market 50%
Combined: 49% Draw Risk: 26%
xG: 1.55 - 0.79
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.6 vs 0.8 Position gap: 11 places
High draw risk (26%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Homeboyz Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
21%
1 goals:
33%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
13%
4 goals:
5%
Bidco United Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
45%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
14%
3 goals:
4%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (15%) 1-1 (12%) 2-0 (12%) 0-0 (10%) 2-1 (9%) 0-1 (8%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 43%
Over 2.5 Goals 41%
Under 2.5 Goals 59%
Homeboyz Form 20.0%
Date Match Result
Jun 21 Homeboyz vs Gor Mahia 2-3
Jun 04 Homeboyz vs Mathare U… 1-0
May 20 Homeboyz vs AFC Leopa… 2-1
Apr 30 Homeboyz vs Kariobang… 6-1
Apr 16 Homeboyz vs AFC Leopa… 2-0
Apr 12 Homeboyz vs Kariobang… 1-3
Apr 09 Homeboyz vs Bandari 0-1
Apr 05 Homeboyz vs Posta Ran… 0-2
Apr 02 Homeboyz vs Gor Mahia 1-0
Mar 12 Homeboyz vs Police 0-1
Bidco United Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
May 07 Bidco Uni… vs Mathare U… 0-3
May 03 Bidco Uni… vs Police 2-0
Apr 26 Bidco Uni… vs AFC Leopa… 1-1
Apr 22 Bidco Uni… vs Sofapaka 0-3
Apr 05 Bidco Uni… vs Kariobang… 1-2
Mar 12 Bidco Uni… vs Gor Mahia 1-0
Feb 19 Bidco Uni… vs Sofapaka 2-0
Feb 05 Bidco Uni… vs Police 0-1
Jan 28 Bidco Uni… vs Kariobang… 1-1
Jan 25 Bidco Uni… vs Mathare U… 1-3
Key Analysis Factors
  • Homeboyz in strong form (5W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jan 19, 2023 Bidco United 1 - 1 Homeboyz FKF Premier Le…
Feb 27, 2022 Homeboyz 3 - 1 Bidco United FKF Premier Le…
Dec 11, 2021 Bidco United 0 - 0 Homeboyz FKF Premier Le…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Homeboyz to win (63% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 63% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_10+ (74.9%) AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Homeboyz Power 0
Bidco United Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

6

Homeboyz Position

+11

Position Gap

17

Bidco United Position

Home Win Rate: 36%
Away Win Rate: 20%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.