AI Match Insights

Ligat Ha'al Oct 05, 2024

Ashdod

Home
VS
16:00

Hapoel Haifa

Away
AI Predictions 53.0% Confidence
Ashdod Win
53.0%
Draw
23.4%
Hapoel Haifa Win
23.6%
Home Win (53% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 92%
Standings 48%
Market 50%
Combined: 50% Draw Risk: 28%
xG: 2.33 - 0.42
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.3 vs 0.4
High draw risk (28%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Ashdod Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
10%
1 goals:
23%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
21%
4 goals:
12%
Hapoel Haifa Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
66%
1 goals:
28%
2 goals:
6%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (17%) 1-0 (15%) 3-0 (13%) 2-1 (7%) 0-0 (6%) 1-1 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 31%
Over 2.5 Goals 49%
Under 2.5 Goals 51%
Ashdod Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 22 Ashdod vs Maccabi T… 0-2
Sep 14 Ashdod vs Bnei Sakh… 2-2
Aug 31 Ashdod vs Ironi Kir… 2-1
Aug 25 Ashdod vs Beitar Je… 3-2
Aug 18 Ashdod vs Hapoel Ha… 2-4
Aug 03 Ashdod vs Beitar Je… 4-3
Jul 31 Ashdod vs Maccabi H… 5-0
Jul 28 Ashdod vs Hapoel Ka… 2-4
May 18 Ashdod vs Hapoel Ka… 3-1
May 11 Ashdod vs Hapoel Te… 0-2
Hapoel Haifa Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 29 Hapoel Ha… vs Hapoel Be… 3-0
Sep 19 Hapoel Ha… vs Hapoel Ra… 0-4
Sep 16 Hapoel Ha… vs Hapoel Pe… 0-1
Sep 14 Hapoel Ha… vs Hapoel Ka… 4-0
Aug 31 Hapoel Ha… vs Maccabi T… 1-3
Aug 18 Hapoel Ha… vs Ashdod 2-4
Aug 07 Hapoel Ha… vs Ironi Tib… 1-1
Aug 04 Hapoel Ha… vs Ironi Kir… 1-1
Jul 31 Hapoel Ha… vs Maccabi T… 0-0
Jul 28 Hapoel Ha… vs Bnei Sakh… 2-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Hapoel Haifa struggling (4L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 7 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Aug 18, 2024 Hapoel Haifa 2 - 4 Ashdod Toto Cup Ligat…
Jan 13, 2024 Ashdod 0 - 1 Hapoel Haifa Ligat Ha'al
Sep 17, 2023 Hapoel Haifa 2 - 0 Ashdod Ligat Ha'al
Aug 19, 2023 Ashdod 0 - 0 Hapoel Haifa Toto Cup Ligat…
Feb 04, 2023 Hapoel Haifa 1 - 1 Ashdod Ligat Ha'al
Oct 15, 2022 Ashdod 4 - 0 Hapoel Haifa Ligat Ha'al
May 09, 2022 Hapoel Haifa 1 - 2 Ashdod Ligat Ha'al
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Ashdod Power 0
Hapoel Haifa Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

11

Ashdod Position

-1

Position Gap

10

Hapoel Haifa Position

Home Win Rate: 20%
Away Win Rate: 30%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.