AI Match Insights

Ligat Ha'al Jan 13, 2024

Ashdod

Home
VS
16:00

Hapoel Haifa

Away
AI Predictions 39.6% Confidence
Ashdod Win
33.0%
Draw
27.4%
Hapoel Haifa Win
39.6%
Away Win (40% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 87%
Standings 48%
Market 50%
Combined: 49% Draw Risk: 43%
xG: 2.18 - 0.69
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.2 vs 0.7
High draw risk (43%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Ashdod Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
11%
1 goals:
25%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
20%
4 goals:
11%
Hapoel Haifa Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
50%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
12%
3 goals:
3%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (13%) 1-0 (12%) 3-0 (10%) 2-1 (9%) 1-1 (9%) 3-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 52%
Under 2.5 Goals 48%
Ashdod Form 2.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 08 Ashdod vs Beitar Je… 1-1
Jan 03 Ashdod vs Maccabi T… 1-4
Dec 26 Ashdod vs Maccabi H… 1-0
Dec 23 Ashdod vs Bnei Sakh… 0-1
Dec 20 Ashdod vs Maccabi H… 4-0
Dec 16 Ashdod vs Hapoel Ka… 2-0
Dec 09 Ashdod vs Hapoel Pe… 1-1
Dec 05 Ashdod vs Hapoel Te… 2-1
Dec 02 Ashdod vs Maccabi T… 0-0
Sep 17 Ashdod vs Hapoel Ha… 2-0
Hapoel Haifa Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 04 Hapoel Ha… vs Beitar Je… 3-2
Jan 01 Hapoel Ha… vs Hapoel No… 2-2
Dec 31 Hapoel Ha… vs Maccabi T… 0-1
Dec 26 Hapoel Ha… vs Hapoel Be… 4-0
Dec 23 Hapoel Ha… vs Maccabi H… 2-1
Dec 22 Hapoel Ha… vs Hapoel Ra… 5-2
Dec 20 Hapoel Ha… vs Bnei Sakh… 1-1
Dec 17 Hapoel Ha… vs Maccabi H… 0-3
Dec 15 Hapoel Ha… vs Hapoel Ri… 1-0
Dec 10 Hapoel Ha… vs Hapoel Ka… 0-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Ashdod struggling (4L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 5 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Sep 17, 2023 Hapoel Haifa 2 - 0 Ashdod Ligat Ha'al
Aug 19, 2023 Ashdod 0 - 0 Hapoel Haifa Toto Cup Ligat…
Feb 04, 2023 Hapoel Haifa 1 - 1 Ashdod Ligat Ha'al
Oct 15, 2022 Ashdod 4 - 0 Hapoel Haifa Ligat Ha'al
May 09, 2022 Hapoel Haifa 1 - 2 Ashdod Ligat Ha'al
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Ashdod Power 0
Hapoel Haifa Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

11

Ashdod Position

-1

Position Gap

10

Hapoel Haifa Position

Home Win Rate: 20%
Away Win Rate: 30%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.