AI Match Insights

Thai League 1 Apr 19, 2025

Sukhothai FC

Home
VS
11:00

Chiangrai United

Away
AI Predictions 47.0% Confidence
Sukhothai FC Win
47.0%
Draw
24.6%
Chiangrai United Win
28.4%
Home Win (47% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 48%
Market 50%
Combined: 60% Draw Risk: 19%
xG: 4.22 - 0.75
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.2 vs 0.8
Score Prediction Analysis
Sukhothai FC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
2%
1 goals:
6%
2 goals:
13%
3 goals:
18%
4 goals:
19%
Chiangrai United Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
47%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
13%
3 goals:
3%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (9%) 3-1 (7%) 2-0 (6%) 2-1 (5%) 1-0 (3%) 3-2 (2%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 52%
Over 2.5 Goals 62%
Under 2.5 Goals 38%
Sukhothai FC Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 06 Sukhothai… vs Buriram U… 1-2
Mar 15 Sukhothai… vs Ratchaburi 2-1
Feb 21 Sukhothai… vs Nakhon Ra… 2-2
Feb 09 Sukhothai… vs Lamphun W… 1-0
Jan 26 Sukhothai… vs Uthai Tha… 3-0
Jan 20 Sukhothai… vs Port FC 3-2
Jan 15 Sukhothai… vs Prachuap 1-1
Nov 30 Sukhothai… vs Chiangrai… 0-0
Nov 27 Sukhothai… vs Uthai Tha… 0-1
Nov 22 Sukhothai… vs Buriram U… 2-0
Chiangrai United Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 15 Chiangrai… vs Ratchaburi 1-2
Apr 09 Chiangrai… vs Buriram U… 2-1
Mar 08 Chiangrai… vs Bangkok G… 3-2
Mar 02 Chiangrai… vs Ratchaburi 0-1
Feb 26 Chiangrai… vs Prachuap 1-0
Feb 23 Chiangrai… vs Lamphun W… 1-0
Feb 08 Chiangrai… vs Muangthon… 2-1
Jan 29 Chiangrai… vs Lamphun W… 2-0
Jan 26 Chiangrai… vs Prachuap 2-0
Jan 18 Chiangrai… vs Bangkok G… 1-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Sukhothai FC struggling (3L in last 5) Home
  • Chiangrai United struggling (4L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 8 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Nov 30, 2024 Chiangrai United 0 - 0 Sukhothai FC Thai League 1
Mar 02, 2024 Sukhothai FC 2 - 1 Chiangrai United Thai League 1
Oct 02, 2023 Chiangrai United 2 - 1 Sukhothai FC Thai League 1
Feb 25, 2023 Sukhothai FC 3 - 0 Chiangrai United Thai League 1
Oct 01, 2022 Chiangrai United 1 - 1 Sukhothai FC Thai League 1
Mar 16, 2021 Chiangrai United 3 - 1 Sukhothai FC Thai League 1
Dec 30, 2020 Chiangrai United 1 - 0 Sukhothai FC FA Cup
Nov 10, 2020 Sukhothai FC 2 - 0 Chiangrai United Thai League 1
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Sukhothai FC Power 0
Chiangrai United Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

12

Sukhothai FC Position

-1

Position Gap

11

Chiangrai United Position

Home Win Rate: 22%
Away Win Rate: 22%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.