AI Match Insights
Thai League 1 Mar 02, 2024
Sukhothai FC
HomeVS
11:30
Chiangrai United
AwayAI Predictions 59.0% Confidence
Sukhothai FC Win
Draw
Chiangrai United Win
Home Win
(59% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
48%
Market
50%
Combined: 51%
Draw Risk: 31%
xG: 2.53 - 0.37
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.5 vs 0.4
High draw risk (31%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Sukhothai FC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Chiangrai United Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (18%)
3-0 (15%)
1-0 (14%)
2-1 (7%)
0-0 (6%)
3-1 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score)
28%
Over 2.5 Goals
51%
Under 2.5 Goals
49%
Sukhothai FC Form 14.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 14 | Sukhothai… vs Buriram U… | 4-0 |
| Dec 01 | Sukhothai… vs Uthai Tha… | 0-0 |
| Nov 25 | Sukhothai… vs Prachuap | 2-0 |
| Nov 01 | Sukhothai… vs Nakhon Ra… | 2-3 |
| Oct 27 | Sukhothai… vs Port FC | 2-1 |
| Oct 21 | Sukhothai… vs Ratchaburi | 3-1 |
| Oct 02 | Sukhothai… vs Chiangrai… | 2-1 |
| Aug 26 | Sukhothai… vs Buriram U… | 0-1 |
| Aug 14 | Sukhothai… vs Lamphun W… | 1-2 |
| May 12 | Sukhothai… vs Prachuap | 2-0 |
Chiangrai United Form 6.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 24 | Chiangrai… vs Lamphun W… | 0-2 |
| Dec 28 | Chiangrai… vs Bangkok G… | 2-2 |
| Dec 24 | Chiangrai… vs Prachuap | 1-1 |
| Dec 01 | Chiangrai… vs Ratchaburi | 3-0 |
| Nov 26 | Chiangrai… vs Port FC | 1-1 |
| Oct 20 | Chiangrai… vs Buriram U… | 0-0 |
| Oct 08 | Chiangrai… vs Bangkok G… | 2-1 |
| Oct 02 | Chiangrai… vs Sukhothai… | 2-1 |
| Sep 23 | Chiangrai… vs Lamphun W… | 2-1 |
| Aug 13 | Chiangrai… vs Muangthon… | 0-1 |
Key Analysis Factors
- Sukhothai FC in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 6 matches
| Date | Home Team | Score | Away Team | League |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 02, 2023 | Chiangrai United | 2 - 1 | Sukhothai FC | Thai League 1 |
| Feb 25, 2023 | Sukhothai FC | 3 - 0 | Chiangrai United | Thai League 1 |
| Oct 01, 2022 | Chiangrai United | 1 - 1 | Sukhothai FC | Thai League 1 |
| Mar 16, 2021 | Chiangrai United | 3 - 1 | Sukhothai FC | Thai League 1 |
| Dec 30, 2020 | Chiangrai United | 1 - 0 | Sukhothai FC | FA Cup |
| Nov 10, 2020 | Sukhothai FC | 2 - 0 | Chiangrai United | Thai League 1 |
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)
STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1
23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
- No key factors identified
Sukhothai FC Power
0
Chiangrai United Power
0
Home Form
N/A
Away Form
N/A
League Standings Context
12
Sukhothai FC Position-1
Position Gap11
Chiangrai United Position
Home Win Rate: 22%
Away Win Rate: 22%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis.
Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.