AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Thai League 1 Oct 02, 2023

Chiangrai United

Home
VS
11:30

Sukhothai FC

Away
AI Predictions 57.0% Confidence
Chiangrai United Win
57.0%
Draw
22.6%
Sukhothai FC Win
20.4%
Home Win (57% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 88%
Standings 52%
Market 50%
Combined: 59% Draw Risk: 23%
xG: 2.28 - 0.72
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.3 vs 0.7
Score Prediction Analysis
Chiangrai United Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
10%
1 goals:
23%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
20%
4 goals:
12%
Sukhothai FC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
49%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
13%
3 goals:
3%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (13%) 1-0 (11%) 3-0 (10%) 2-1 (9%) 1-1 (8%) 3-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 46%
Over 2.5 Goals 55%
Under 2.5 Goals 45%
Chiangrai United Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 23 Chiangrai… vs Lamphun W… 2-1
Aug 13 Chiangrai… vs Muangthon… 0-1
May 06 Chiangrai… vs Bangkok G… 2-1
Apr 30 Chiangrai… vs Muangthon… 1-2
Apr 22 Chiangrai… vs Buriram U… 1-2
Apr 04 Chiangrai… vs Port FC 2-3
Mar 11 Chiangrai… vs Ratchaburi 0-0
Mar 04 Chiangrai… vs Bangkok G… 1-2
Mar 01 Chiangrai… vs Port FC 1-0
Feb 25 Chiangrai… vs Sukhothai… 3-0
Sukhothai FC Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 26 Sukhothai… vs Buriram U… 0-1
Aug 14 Sukhothai… vs Lamphun W… 1-2
May 12 Sukhothai… vs Prachuap 2-0
May 07 Sukhothai… vs Lamphun W… 1-2
Mar 19 Sukhothai… vs Port FC 2-0
Mar 10 Sukhothai… vs Nakhon Ra… 2-3
Mar 04 Sukhothai… vs Ratchaburi 1-1
Feb 25 Sukhothai… vs Chiangrai… 3-0
Jan 22 Sukhothai… vs Buriram U… 0-3
Nov 27 Sukhothai… vs Lamphun W… 3-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Chiangrai United in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
  • Sukhothai FC struggling (4L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 5 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Feb 25, 2023 Sukhothai FC 3 - 0 Chiangrai United Thai League 1
Oct 01, 2022 Chiangrai United 1 - 1 Sukhothai FC Thai League 1
Mar 16, 2021 Chiangrai United 3 - 1 Sukhothai FC Thai League 1
Dec 30, 2020 Chiangrai United 1 - 0 Sukhothai FC FA Cup
Nov 10, 2020 Sukhothai FC 2 - 0 Chiangrai United Thai League 1
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Chiangrai United Power 0
Sukhothai FC Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

11

Chiangrai United Position

+1

Position Gap

12

Sukhothai FC Position
Home Win Rate: 22%
Away Win Rate: 22%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.