AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Thai League 1 Oct 01, 2022

Chiangrai United

Home
VS
12:00

Sukhothai FC

Away
AI Predictions 51.0% Confidence
Chiangrai United Win
51.0%
Draw
23.8%
Sukhothai FC Win
25.2%
Home Win (51% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 52%
Market 50%
Combined: 51% Draw Risk: 29%
xG: 4.50 - 0.56
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.5 vs 0.6
High draw risk (29%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Chiangrai United Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1%
1 goals:
5%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
19%
Sukhothai FC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
57%
1 goals:
32%
2 goals:
9%
3 goals:
2%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (10%) 2-0 (6%) 3-1 (5%) 2-1 (4%) 1-0 (3%) 1-1 (2%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 42%
Over 2.5 Goals 58%
Under 2.5 Goals 42%
Chiangrai United Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 03 Chiangrai… vs Prachuap 2-1
Aug 21 Chiangrai… vs Lamphun W… 0-1
May 25 Chiangrai… vs Buriram U… 1-0
Apr 06 Chiangrai… vs Buriram U… 1-1
Mar 19 Chiangrai… vs Bangkok G… 3-0
Mar 13 Chiangrai… vs Bangkok G… 4-2
Mar 09 Chiangrai… vs Port FC 0-0
Feb 27 Chiangrai… vs Muangthon… 1-1
Feb 12 Chiangrai… vs Bangkok G… 1-2
Jan 22 Chiangrai… vs Prachuap 1-3
Sukhothai FC Form 2.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 19 Sukhothai… vs Buriram U… 6-1
Aug 14 Sukhothai… vs Prachuap 0-3
Mar 16 Sukhothai… vs Chiangrai… 3-1
Mar 10 Sukhothai… vs Buriram U… 3-0
Feb 21 Sukhothai… vs Nakhon Ra… 0-0
Feb 11 Sukhothai… vs Prachuap 4-3
Feb 06 Sukhothai… vs Port FC 1-0
Dec 30 Sukhothai… vs Chiangrai… 1-0
Dec 26 Sukhothai… vs Ratchaburi 3-1
Nov 22 Sukhothai… vs Buriram U… 0-3
Key Analysis Factors
  • Chiangrai United struggling (3L in last 5) Home
  • Sukhothai FC struggling (4L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Mar 16, 2021 Chiangrai United 3 - 1 Sukhothai FC Thai League 1
Dec 30, 2020 Chiangrai United 1 - 0 Sukhothai FC FA Cup
Nov 10, 2020 Sukhothai FC 2 - 0 Chiangrai United Thai League 1
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Chiangrai United Power 0
Sukhothai FC Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

11

Chiangrai United Position

+1

Position Gap

12

Sukhothai FC Position
Home Win Rate: 22%
Away Win Rate: 22%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.